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Neighborhood · San Luis, AZ

Rio Sereno Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 6,361 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.1/10 · range 5.1–5.1

Rio Sereno maps to a single census tract in San Luis, AZ, population 6,361. Scored across those inputs it reaches 5.1/10, placing it in the Moderate tier. 37% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, well above the San Luis rate of 19.9%.

The clearest offset is supply constraint, at 1/10. The severe-burden share is 24%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. The poverty rate is 32%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

On the high side is economic stress at 7.9/10. 18.3% of adults report being unable to pay a utility bill, against a 9.2% national figure. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

Running cool is eviction-process difficulty, at 2.2/10. Disability prevalence reaches 43.5% against a 31.5% national average, which raises the odds a reasonable-accommodation request accompanies any dispute.

Average gross rent is $657, 11% below the San Luis average of $741. Among the 5 mapped neighborhoods of San Luis, it ranks #1 by risk, the upper third.

The closest comparables inside the same city are San Luis Townsite and Las Fuentes. Social vulnerability runs high at 9.9/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input. Against average income of $44,894, annual rent is only 18%, a wide affordability cushion.

44% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

One tract means one number: 5.1/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
5.1
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Rio Sereno vs San Luis How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
36.6% +84%
San Luis: 19.9%
Average gross rent
$657 -11%
San Luis: $741
Average HH income
$44,894 -22%
San Luis: $57,364
Poverty rate
31.7% +45%
San Luis: 21.9%
Renter share
44.0% +39%
San Luis: 31.6%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Rio Sereno and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 5.1–5.1

Why Rio Sereno scores 5.1

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 2.2–2.2 across tracts
2.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 4.7–4.7 across tracts
4.7
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 5.2–5.2 across tracts
5.2
Rent control risk
37% of income on rent · Range 2.8–2.8 across tracts
2.8
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 2.2–2.2 across tracts
2.2
Tenant organizing strength
44% renter households · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts
6.8
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Economic stress
31.7% below poverty line · Range 7.9–7.9 across tracts
7.9
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Risk score comparison

Rio Sereno vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Rio Sereno score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Rio Sereno: 5.15.1Rio SerenoNeighborhoodParent city: 3.73.7Parent cityhost cityState: 3.63.6Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Rio Sereno

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
04027011601 5.1 6,361 37% $657
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 99

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 98%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 94%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 100%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 88%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Rio Sereno

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Rio Sereno

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Rio Sereno?

Rio Sereno scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Rio Sereno compare to San Luis overall?

Rio Sereno scores 1.4 points higher than San Luis overall (3.7/10). Renters spend 37% of income on rent vs 20% citywide. Average rent: $657 vs $741.
Q3

What is the average rent in Rio Sereno?

Average gross rent in Rio Sereno is $657/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 37% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Rio Sereno residents are renters?

44% of Rio Sereno households are renter-occupied (vs 32% in San Luis). The neighborhood has 6,361 residents.
Q5

Is Rio Sereno a high social-vulnerability area?

Rio Sereno sits in the 99th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Rio Sereno for landlords?

Rio Sereno carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.1/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to San Luis as a whole (3.7/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Rio Sereno?

Rio Sereno has 5,882 residents. Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (100%), White (non-Hispanic) (0%), Black (non-Hispanic) (0%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Rio Sereno

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside San Luis

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Rio Sereno.

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