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Census Tract · Ranked #50,654 of 84,120 nationally

Lincoln Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 05143010513 · Washington County, AR · pop 3,241 · 21% of tract blocks fall in Lincoln

05143010513 is a census tract in Lincoln, AR. It scores 3.9/10 for landlords. It is home to 3,241 residents. The clearest offset is state political climate at 1.5/10.

Risk score
3.9
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 7% Stable renters 17% Owners 76%
Tract context
Occupied units1,216
Renter share24.2%
SVI overall0.69
Poverty rate10.6%
Median income$62,642

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Lincoln
Very Low
Within county
66 th percentile
Rank, 66th percentileLowHigh
#19 of 54 tracts In Washington County
Elevated
Within state
62 th percentile
Rank, 62nd percentileLowHigh
#310 of 823 tracts In Arkansas
Elevated
National
40 th percentile
Rank, 40th percentileLowHigh
#50,654 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Lincoln and the region

Centroid at 36.0374, -94.4760 · click any tract to drill in

Why Lincoln scores 3.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Lincoln
5.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.8
State political climate
Arkansas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
10.6% poverty · this tract
2.7
Supply constraint
$1,106 rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lincoln
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lincoln
8.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lincoln
6.7

How Lincoln compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Lincoln risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.9This tracttract 0105134.0Lincolnparent city3.7Countyavg tract in county3.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 69

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Lincoln

On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.5/10. Well under the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 2.1/10. Cost burden runs 31% here against 36.0% across Washington County.

On the national scale it lands near the 40th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. At 24% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 7.2/10.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured. It tracks the Washington County average of 3.7 closely.

Average gross rent is $1,106, close to the Lincoln average. Annual rent works out to 21% of average household income of $62,642.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 05143010513

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 05143010513?

Census tract 05143010513 in Lincoln scores 3.9/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 05143010513?

Median gross rent is $1,106/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 31% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 05143010513?

10.6% of residents in tract 05143010513 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,241.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 05143010513?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 69th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 69th, household 96th, minority 55th, housing 28th.
Q5

What share of households in tract 05143010513 struggle to pay rent?

About 14.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 05143010513 compare to Lincoln overall?

Tract 05143010513 scores 3.9/10, right in line with the parent city of Lincoln at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lincoln; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Lincoln

Top eight tracts in Lincoln ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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