Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Census Tract · Ranked #34,332 of 84,120 nationally
Lincoln Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 05143010513 · Washington County, AR · pop 3,241 · 21% of tract blocks fall in Lincoln
Census tract 05143010513 sits in Lincoln, Arkansas eviction laws, and carries an eviction-risk score of 4.6/10. On the national scale it ranks #61,632 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
About 31% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a high level, and 7% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,106 a month against an average household income of $62,642 a year, roughly 21% of income at the averages. Renters make up 24% of occupied homes.
Risk score
4.4
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 7%
Stable renters 17%
Owners 76%
Tract context
Occupied units1,216
Renter share24.2%
SVI overall0.69
Poverty rate10.6%
Median income$62,642
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
49
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
39
th percentile
Low
National
59
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Lincoln and the region
Centroid at 36.0374, -94.4760 · click any tract to drill in
Why Lincoln scores 4.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Lincoln
5.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.8
State political climate
Arkansas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
10.6% poverty · this tract
2.7
Supply constraint
$1,106 rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lincoln
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lincoln
8.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lincoln
6.7
How Lincoln compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 69
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 69%Socioeconomic
- 96%Household composition
- 55%Racial/ethnic minority
- 28%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 14.0%Housing insecurity
- 9.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 18.3%Food insecurity
- 10.5%SNAP enrollment
- 9.6%Transit barriers
- 12.6%No health insurance
- 19.0%Frequent mental distress
- 38.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Lincoln
The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 8.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Lincoln, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Washington County average of 4.0 and above the Arkansas statewide average of 4.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 14.0% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 9.6% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 69th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 05143010513
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 05143010513?
Census tract 05143010513 in Lincoln scores 4.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 05143010513?
Median gross rent is $1,106/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 31% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 05143010513?
10.6% of residents in tract 05143010513 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,241.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 05143010513?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 69th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 69th, household 96th, minority 55th, housing 28th.
Q5
What share of households in tract 05143010513 struggle to pay rent?
About 14.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 05143010513 compare to Lincoln overall?
Tract 05143010513 scores 4.4/10, higher than the parent city of Lincoln at 2.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lincoln; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Lincoln
Top eight tracts in Lincoln ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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