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Lincoln, AR Eviction Risk Score Washington County · Arkansas · Population 2,794

5.0 Moderate ★★☆ Medium confidence
19.7%Tenant-law probabilityi
$787–2,619Typical eviction costi
26 daysTypical timelinei
$1,111HUD 2BR FMR 2025i
$1,107Median gross renti
22.2%Rent burdeni
39.9%Rentersi

Sub-score breakdown

Local political climate
5.3
GOP margin +3.9% in 2020
Regional political climate
5.3
GOP margin +3.9% in 2020
State political climate
1.8
Economic stress
7.4
19.7% poverty · 5.3% unemployed
Supply constraint
7.5
$1,107 median rent · 39.9% renters
Rent-control risk
5.5
22.2% rent burden
Eviction process difficulty
2.1
Tenant organizing strength
8.5
39.9% renters
Housing court bias
6.7
Voucher gap (market vs HUD FMR)
0.0
Market rent -0.4% vs HUD 2BR FMR ($1,111)

Sub-scores are national percentile rankings (1 = most landlord-friendly, 10 = most tenant-protective) derived from ACS 2023 5-year data, 2020 county presidential margin, and state law weighting. Source: ACS 2023 5-year + Gazetteer 2024.

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About eviction risk in Lincoln, AR

Lincoln, AR has an eviction risk score of 5.0 out of 10, placing it in the moderate-risk tier for landlords operating in Washington County and the state of Arkansas. The score combines local political climate, court disposition patterns, cost-of-eviction estimates, tenant organizing strength, and the likelihood of new tenant-protective legislation in the next legislative cycle.

Census ACS 2023 5-year estimates show median gross rent as a percentage of household income is 22.2% — a core driver of eviction filings, because households above 30% of income on rent are statistically more likely to miss a payment after any income shock. Median gross rent in Lincoln is $1,107/month. About 39.9% of occupied units here are renter-occupied.

Economic stress: poverty rate 19.7%, unemployment 5.3%. Higher values correlate with higher eviction filing rates and longer court timelines.

Political climate: In 2020, Washington County voted Republican by 3.9 points — classified as politically mixed for purposes of rent-control or just-cause expansion risk.

What this score means for landlords

At 5.0/10, Lincoln is an elevated-risk environment. Tenant protections are stronger than the national median. Use proactive screening, document notices in writing, and understand your specific just-cause and rent-cap exposure before raising rent or terminating a tenancy.

Nearby Cities — Eviction Risk Comparison

Landlord Guides & Research Tools

Deepen your market research with these ACS-data guides. The metrics powering this score feed directly into each ranking.

Landlord Guides for Arkansas

Eviction Costs — Arkansas →
Filing fees, attorney fees, lost rent, sheriff lockout
Eviction Process — Arkansas →
Step-by-step timeline, notices, statute cites
Rent Control — Arkansas →
Statewide caps, local ordinances, just-cause
Tenant Screening — Arkansas →
5-point protocol, legal rules, protected classes
Tenant Protections — Arkansas →
Just cause, retaliation, habitability, entry