Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Census Tract · Ranked #23,554 of 84,120 nationally
Lincoln Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 05143011002 · Washington County, AR · pop 5,745 · 17% of tract blocks fall in Lincoln
Tract 05143011002, home to 5,745 residents in Lincoln in Washington County, scores $1/10 for landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than roughly 40% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 38% of renter households, a high level, and 13% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $872 monthly, set against $62,283 in average yearly household income, roughly 17% of income at the averages. About 42% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
5.1
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 16%
Stable renters 26%
Owners 58%
Tract context
Occupied units2,118
Renter share41.6%
SVI overall0.54
Poverty rate19.6%
Median income$62,283
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
72
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
61
th percentile
Elevated
National
72
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Lincoln and the region
Centroid at 35.9188, -94.4226 · click any tract to drill in
Why Lincoln scores 5.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Lincoln
5.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.8
State political climate
Arkansas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
19.6% poverty · this tract
4.9
Supply constraint
$872 rent vs county FMR
2.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lincoln
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lincoln
8.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lincoln
6.7
How Lincoln compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 54
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 58%Socioeconomic
- 55%Household composition
- 39%Racial/ethnic minority
- 47%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 14.0%Housing insecurity
- 10.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 18.5%Food insecurity
- 11.6%SNAP enrollment
- 9.9%Transit barriers
- 12.0%No health insurance
- 19.7%Frequent mental distress
- 40.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Lincoln
The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 8.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Lincoln, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Washington County average of 4.0 and above the Arkansas statewide average of 4.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 14.0% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 10.1% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 54th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 05143011002
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 05143011002?
Census tract 05143011002 in Lincoln scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 05143011002?
Median gross rent is $872/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 38% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 05143011002?
19.6% of residents in tract 05143011002 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,745.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 05143011002?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 54th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 58th, household 55th, minority 39th, housing 47th.
Q5
What share of households in tract 05143011002 struggle to pay rent?
About 14.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 05143011002 compare to Lincoln overall?
Tract 05143011002 scores 5.1/10, higher than the parent city of Lincoln at 2.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lincoln; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Lincoln
Top eight tracts in Lincoln ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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