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Neighborhood · Ranked #1 of 84,120 nationally

San Pablo Gateway Eviction Risk: High , Oakland

Tract 06001402400 · Alameda, CA · pop 2,623 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

With a score of 9.9/10, tract 06001402400 in the San Pablo Gateway area of Oakland, CA reads high for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 2,623 residents. What pushes it up most is rent-regulation exposure at 10/10.

Risk score
9.9
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 46% Stable renters 31% Owners 23%
Tract context
Occupied units1,282
Renter share76.7%
SVI overall0.96
Poverty rate20.3%
Median income$42,078

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 3 tracts In San Pablo Gateway
Very High
Within parent city
74 th percentile
Rank, 74th percentileLowHigh
#31 of 116 tracts In Oakland
Elevated
Within county
81 th percentile
Rank, 81st percentileLowHigh
#72 of 378 tracts In Alameda
High
Within state
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 9,109 tracts In California
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Oakland and the region

Centroid at 37.8120, -122.2825 · click any tract to drill in

Why San Pablo Gateway scores 9.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Oakland
9.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.1
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
20.3% poverty · this tract
5.1
Supply constraint
$1,252 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Oakland
10.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
9.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Oakland
9.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Oakland
9.5

How San Pablo Gateway compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
San Pablo Gateway risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 9.99.9This tracttract 402400Oakland: 9.69.6Oaklandparent cityCounty: 7.87.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 7.57.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 96

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within San Pablo Gateway. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in San Pablo Gateway

32% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 9.7/10. Cost burden runs 60% here against 45.5% across Alameda County.

At $1,252 a month, rents run 37% under what the rest of Oakland commands. On the high side, eviction-process difficulty reads 9.5/10.

Against the Alameda County average of 7.8, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.1 points. Set annual rent against average income of $42,078 and the ratio lands at 36%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. 77% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.

The poverty rate is 20%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Food insecurity runs 27.9% against 17.8% nationally.

Housing insecurity runs 22.3% against 14.2% nationally. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 06001402400

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06001402400?

Census tract 06001402400 in the San Pablo Gateway neighborhood scores 9.9/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06001402400?

Median gross rent is $1,252/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 60% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06001402400?

20.3% of residents in tract 06001402400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,623.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06001402400?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 96th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 90th, household 93th, minority 89th, housing 88th.
Q5

Is tract 06001402400 considered part of San Pablo Gateway?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06001402400 fall within San Pablo Gateway (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 06001402400 struggle to pay rent?

About 22.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 13.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 06001402400 compare to Oakland overall?

Tract 06001402400 scores 9.9/10, higher than the parent city of Oakland at 9.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Oakland eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 06001402400 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 100% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Oakland

Top eight tracts in Oakland ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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