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Neighborhood · Ranked #1 of 84,120 nationally

San Pablo Gateway Eviction Risk: High , Oakland

Tract 06001402802 · Alameda, CA · pop 1,430 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi

06001402802 is a census tract in the San Pablo Gateway area of Oakland, CA. It scores 9.9/10 for landlords. Population here is 1,430. 35% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score
9.9
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 51% Stable renters 44% Owners 5%
Tract context
Occupied units777
Renter share95.1%
SVI overall0.93
Poverty rate48.0%
Median income$18,552

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 3 tracts In San Pablo Gateway
Very Low
Within parent city
63 th percentile
Rank, 63rd percentileLowHigh
#44 of 116 tracts In Oakland
Elevated
Within county
84 th percentile
Rank, 84th percentileLowHigh
#63 of 378 tracts In Alameda
High
Within state
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 9,109 tracts In California
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Oakland and the region

Centroid at 37.8070, -122.2736 · click any tract to drill in

Why San Pablo Gateway scores 9.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Oakland
9.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.1
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
48.0% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$757 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Oakland
10.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
9.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Oakland
9.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Oakland
9.5

How San Pablo Gateway compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
San Pablo Gateway risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 9.99.9This tracttract 402802Oakland: 9.69.6Oaklandparent cityCounty: 7.87.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 7.57.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 93

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within San Pablo Gateway. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in San Pablo Gateway

The dominant input is rent-regulation exposure at 10/10. Average gross rent is $757, 62% below the Oakland average.

The poverty rate is 48%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Sitting well above the midpoint, economic stress reads 10/10. Set annual rent against average income of $18,552 and the ratio lands at 49%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.

95% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Running hot, local political climate reads 9.7/10.

It sits 2.1 points above the Alameda County average of 7.8. Against Alameda County at 45.5%, 54% of renters here are cost-burdened.

Housing insecurity runs 26.5% against 14.2% nationally. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 19.5% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. On the national scale it lands near the 100th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 9.4/10.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 06001402802

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06001402802?

Census tract 06001402802 in the San Pablo Gateway neighborhood scores 9.9/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06001402802?

Median gross rent is $757/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06001402802?

48.0% of residents in tract 06001402802 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,430.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06001402802?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 93th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 88th, household 66th, minority 83th, housing 97th.
Q5

Is tract 06001402802 considered part of San Pablo Gateway?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06001402802 fall within San Pablo Gateway (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 06001402802 struggle to pay rent?

About 26.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 19.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 06001402802 compare to Oakland overall?

Tract 06001402802 scores 9.9/10, higher than the parent city of Oakland at 9.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Oakland eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Oakland

Top eight tracts in Oakland ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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