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Neighborhood · Oakland, CA

San Pablo Gateway Eviction Risk: Elevated

3 census tracts · pop 6,092 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 6.9/10 · range 6.6–7.4

San Pablo Gateway is a black-white neighborhood in Oakland with 3 census tracts and a population of 6,092 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 6.9/10 (Elevated tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 51% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 30% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Median gross rent of $1,449/month sits 27% lower than the Oakland citywide median ($1,979).

Risk score
6.9
Elevated
3 tracts · population-weighted
San Pablo Gateway vs Oakland How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
50.8% +66%
Oakland: 30.6%
Average gross rent
$1,449 -27%
Oakland: $1,979
Average HH income
$55,022 -43%
Oakland: $97,369
Poverty rate
27.1% +98%
Oakland: 13.7%
Renter share
79.5% +38%
Oakland: 57.7%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across San Pablo Gateway and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 3 tracts span score 6.6–7.4

Why San Pablo Gateway scores 6.9

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts
6.8
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 8.1–8.1 across tracts
8.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 9.7–9.7 across tracts
9.7
Rent control risk
51% of income on rent · Range 10.0–10.0 across tracts
10.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 9.5–9.5 across tracts
9.5
Tenant organizing strength
80% renter households · Range 9.5–9.5 across tracts
9.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 9.5–9.5 across tracts
9.5
Economic stress
27.1% below poverty line · Range 5.1–10.0 across tracts
6.3
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.0–3.2 across tracts
1.7
Risk score comparison

San Pablo Gateway vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

San Pablo Gateway score vs. parent city, state, U.S.San Pablo Gateway: 6.96.9San Pablo GatewayNeighborhoodParent city: 9.19.1Parent cityhost cityState: 6.66.6Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.35.3U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in San Pablo Gateway?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square — click to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 0.8 points from 6.6 to 7.4. Tracts are relatively uniform — conditions feel similar throughout the neighborhood.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

3 tracts in San Pablo Gateway

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
06001402802 7.4 1,430 54% $757
06001402400 6.9 2,623 60% $1,252
06001402700 6.6 2,039 37% $2,188
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 84

Pop-weighted across 3 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 80%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 61%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 85%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 87%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in San Pablo Gateway

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About San Pablo Gateway

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for San Pablo Gateway?

San Pablo Gateway scores 6.9/10 (Elevated tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

Q2

How does San Pablo Gateway compare to Oakland overall?

San Pablo Gateway scores 2.2 points lower than Oakland overall (9.1/10). Renters spend 51% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Median rent: $1,449 vs $1,979.

Q3

What is the average rent in San Pablo Gateway?

Median gross rent in San Pablo Gateway is $1,449/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.

Q4

What percentage of San Pablo Gateway residents are renters?

80% of San Pablo Gateway households are renter-occupied (vs 58% in Oakland). The neighborhood has 6,092 residents.

Q5

Is San Pablo Gateway a high social-vulnerability area?

San Pablo Gateway sits in the 84th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

Q6

Which tracts in San Pablo Gateway have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in San Pablo Gateway is census tract 06001402802 (score 7.4/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 6.6 to 7.4 — a spread of 0.8 points.

Q7

How safe is San Pablo Gateway for landlords?

San Pablo Gateway carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (6.9/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Oakland as a whole (9.1/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.

Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of San Pablo Gateway?

San Pablo Gateway has 6,310 residents (Black-White Neighborhood). Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (45.6%), White (non-Hispanic) (20.5%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (14.5%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near San Pablo Gateway

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Oakland

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to San Pablo Gateway.

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