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Neighborhood · Ranked #1 of 84,120 nationally

Eastlake Eviction Risk: High , Oakland

Tract 06001405401 · Alameda, CA · pop 3,541 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi

Tract 06001405401 sits in the Eastlake area of Oakland eviction risk, CA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 9.9/10. Population here is 3,541. What pushes it up most is rent-regulation exposure at 10/10.

Risk score
9.9
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 43% Stable renters 47% Owners 10%
Tract context
Occupied units1,615
Renter share89.8%
SVI overall0.84
Poverty rate14.0%
Median income$73,179

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 3 tracts In Eastlake
Moderate
Within parent city
62 th percentile
Rank, 62nd percentileLowHigh
#45 of 116 tracts In Oakland
Elevated
Within county
85 th percentile
Rank, 85th percentileLowHigh
#57 of 378 tracts In Alameda
High
Within state
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 9,109 tracts In California
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Oakland and the region

Centroid at 37.7965, -122.2495 · click any tract to drill in

Why Eastlake scores 9.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Oakland
9.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.1
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
14.0% poverty · this tract
3.5
Supply constraint
$1,829 rent vs county FMR
1.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Oakland
10.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
9.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Oakland
9.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Oakland
9.5

How Eastlake compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Eastlake risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 9.99.9This tracttract 405401Oakland: 9.69.6Oaklandparent cityCounty: 7.87.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 7.57.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 84

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Eastlake. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Eastlake

The severe-burden share is 30%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 9.7/10. 90% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.

Running hot, eviction-process difficulty reads 9.5/10. Against the Alameda County average of 7.8, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.1 points. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.

That is riskier than roughly 100% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 8.6/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 2.4 points hotter.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. Rent takes 30% or more of income for about half of renters.

Average gross rent is $1,829, close to the Oakland average. Annual rent works out to 30% of average household income of $73,179.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 06001405401

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06001405401?

Census tract 06001405401 in the Eastlake neighborhood scores 9.9/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06001405401?

Median gross rent is $1,829/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06001405401?

14.0% of residents in tract 06001405401 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,541.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06001405401?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 84th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 76th, household 49th, minority 82th, housing 93th.
Q5

Is tract 06001405401 considered part of Eastlake?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06001405401 fall within Eastlake (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 06001405401 struggle to pay rent?

About 15.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 06001405401 compare to Oakland overall?

Tract 06001405401 scores 9.9/10, higher than the parent city of Oakland at 9.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Oakland eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 06001405401 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Oakland

Top eight tracts in Oakland ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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