Fernside Eviction Risk: Elevated , Alameda

At $3,501 a month, rents run 42% over what the rest of Alameda commands. What pushes it up most is tenant-organizing strength at 9.2/10.

On the softer side, economic stress reads 1/10. The voucher gap is 30.5%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Running hot, regional political climate reads 8.1/10.

It sits 1.2 points below the Alameda County average of 7.8. SNAP participation runs 6.0% against 15.2% nationally.

Severe burden reaches 8%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Housing insecurity runs 6.9% against 14.2% nationally.

This ground was mapped B ("Still Desirable") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Oakland. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. That is riskier than roughly 82% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. At 23% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.