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Neighborhood · Alameda, CA

Fernside Eviction Risk: Elevated

1 census tracts · pop 4,222 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 6.6/10 · range 6.6–6.6

Fernside is a one-tract neighborhood of Alameda, CA and houses 4,222 people. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 6.6/10, Elevated tier. Average gross rent is $3,501, 42% above the Alameda average of $2,474.

The strongest single driver of the headline number is tenant-organizing strength at 9.2/10. The voucher gap is 30.5%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears. Rent consumes at least 30% of income for about a quarter of renter households.

On the softer side is economic stress, at 1/10. On the high side is supply constraint at 8.1/10.

3.7% of adults report being unable to pay a utility bill, below a 9.2% national figure. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. The severe-burden share is 8%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. SNAP participation is 6.0% of households versus 15.2% nationally.

That places it #6 of 7 neighborhoods in Alameda. At 23% renter-occupied, this is predominantly owner territory, and rental comps have to be drawn from further out. Poverty sits at 1%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

Annual rent works out to 20% of average household income of $206,118.

One tract means one number: 6.6/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
6.6
Elevated
1 tracts · population-weighted
Fernside vs Alameda How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
25.8% -8%
Alameda: 27.9%
Average gross rent
$3,501 +42%
Alameda: $2,474
Average HH income
$206,118 +56%
Alameda: $132,015
Poverty rate
0.8% -88%
Alameda: 6.9%
Renter share
23.1% -53%
Alameda: 49.3%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Fernside and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 6.6–6.6

Why Fernside scores 6.6

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts
6.8
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 8.1–8.1 across tracts
8.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 8.1–8.1 across tracts
8.1
Rent control risk
26% of income on rent · Range 5.1–5.1 across tracts
5.1
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 6.3–6.3 across tracts
6.3
Tenant organizing strength
23% renter households · Range 9.2–9.2 across tracts
9.2
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts
4.5
Economic stress
0.8% below poverty line · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 8.1–8.1 across tracts
8.1
Risk score comparison

Fernside vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Fernside score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Fernside: 6.66.6FernsideNeighborhoodParent city: 7.87.8Parent cityhost cityState: 7.67.6Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Fernside

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
06001427100 6.6 4,222 26% $3,501
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 11

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 9%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 33%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 59%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 11%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Fernside

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Fernside

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Fernside?

Fernside scores 6.6/10 (Elevated tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Fernside compare to Alameda overall?

Fernside scores 1.2 points lower than Alameda overall (7.8/10). Renters spend 26% of income on rent vs 28% citywide. Average rent: $3,501 vs $2,474.
Q3

What is the average rent in Fernside?

Average gross rent in Fernside is $3,501/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 26% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Fernside residents are renters?

23% of Fernside households are renter-occupied (vs 49% in Alameda). The neighborhood has 4,222 residents.
Q5

Is Fernside a high social-vulnerability area?

Fernside sits in the 11th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Fernside for landlords?

Fernside carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (6.6/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Alameda as a whole (7.8/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Fernside?

Fernside has 4,146 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (55.1%), Hispanic / Latino (19.2%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (16.6%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Fernside

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Alameda

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Fernside.

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