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Neighborhood · Alameda, CA

Fernside Eviction Risk: Elevated

1 census tracts · pop 4,222 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 6.6/10 · range 6.6–6.6

Fernside is a one-tract neighborhood of Alameda, CA and houses 4,222 people. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 6.6/10, Elevated tier. Average gross rent is $3,501, 42% above the Alameda average of $2,474.

The strongest single driver of the headline number is tenant-organizing strength at 9.2/10. The voucher gap is 30.5%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears. Rent consumes at least 30% of income for about a quarter of renter households.

On the softer side is economic stress, at 1/10. On the high side is supply constraint at 8.1/10.

3.7% of adults report being unable to pay a utility bill, below a 9.2% national figure. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. The severe-burden share is 8%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. SNAP participation is 6.0% of households versus 15.2% nationally.

That places it #6 of 7 neighborhoods in Alameda. At 23% renter-occupied, this is predominantly owner territory, and rental comps have to be drawn from further out. Poverty sits at 1%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

Annual rent works out to 20% of average household income of $206,118.

One tract means one number: 6.6/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
6.6
Elevated
1 tracts · population-weighted
Fernside vs Alameda How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
25.8% -8%
Alameda: 27.9%
Average gross rent
$3,501 +42%
Alameda: $2,474
Average HH income
$206,118 +56%
Alameda: $132,015
Poverty rate
0.8% -88%
Alameda: 6.9%
Renter share
23.1% -53%
Alameda: 49.3%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Fernside and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 6.6–6.6

Why Fernside scores 6.6

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts
6.8
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 8.1–8.1 across tracts
8.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 8.1–8.1 across tracts
8.1
Rent control risk
26% of income on rent · Range 5.1–5.1 across tracts
5.1
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 6.3–6.3 across tracts
6.3
Tenant organizing strength
23% renter households · Range 9.2–9.2 across tracts
9.2
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts
4.5
Economic stress
0.8% below poverty line · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 8.1–8.1 across tracts
8.1
Risk score comparison

Fernside vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Fernside score vs. parent city, state, U.S.6.6FernsideNeighborhood7.8Parent cityhost city7.6Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Fernside

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕ Score↕ Pop↕ % over 30% on rent↕ Average rent↕
06001427100 6.6 4,222 26% $3,501
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 11

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 9%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 33%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 59%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 11%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Fernside

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Fernside

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Fernside?

Fernside scores 6.6/10 (Elevated tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Fernside compare to Alameda overall?

Fernside scores 1.2 points lower than Alameda overall (7.8/10). Renters spend 26% of income on rent vs 28% citywide. Average rent: $3,501 vs $2,474.
Q3

What is the average rent in Fernside?

Average gross rent in Fernside is $3,501/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 26% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Fernside residents are renters?

23% of Fernside households are renter-occupied (vs 49% in Alameda). The neighborhood has 4,222 residents.
Q5

Is Fernside a high social-vulnerability area?

Fernside sits in the 11th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Fernside for landlords?

Fernside carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (6.6/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Alameda as a whole (7.8/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Fernside?

Fernside has 4,146 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (55.1%), Hispanic / Latino (19.2%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (16.6%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Fernside

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Alameda

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Fernside.

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