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Neighborhood · Ranked #14,906 of 84,120 nationally

Bay Farm Island Eviction Risk: Elevated , Alameda

Tract 06001428302 · Alameda, CA · pop 7,022 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

Census tract 06001428302 covers part of the Bay Farm Island area of Alameda, CA, and scores 6.6/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 7,022 residents. 14% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, far below the Alameda County average of 45.5%.

Risk score
6.6
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 2% Stable renters 12% Owners 86%
Tract context
Occupied units2,489
Renter share13.4%
SVI overall0.21
Poverty rate4.0%
Median income$206,780

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Bay Farm Island
Very High
Within parent city
7 th percentile
Rank, 7th percentileLowHigh
#15 of 16 tracts In Alameda
Very Low
Within county
34 th percentile
Rank, 34th percentileLowHigh
#250 of 378 tracts In Alameda
Low
Within state
35 th percentile
Rank, 35th percentileLowHigh
#5,947 of 9,109 tracts In California
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Alameda and the region

Centroid at 37.7440, -122.2498 · click any tract to drill in

Why Bay Farm Island scores 6.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Alameda
8.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.1
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
4.0% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$3,501 rent vs county FMR
8.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Alameda
5.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Alameda
9.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Alameda
4.5

How Bay Farm Island compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Bay Farm Island risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 6.66.6This tracttract 428302Alameda: 7.87.8Alamedaparent cityCounty: 7.87.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 7.57.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 21

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Bay Farm Island. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Bay Farm Island

Average gross rent is $3,501, 42% above the Alameda average. The score leans hardest on tenant-organizing strength at 9.2/10.

Running cool, economic stress reads 1/10. The voucher gap is 30.5%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. On the high side, regional political climate reads 8.1/10.

It sits 1.2 points below the Alameda County average of 7.8. Housing insecurity runs 5.1% against 14.2% nationally. Adults with no health insurance runs 2.9% against 11.3% nationally.

On the national scale it lands near the 82nd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Only 13% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. Social vulnerability reads 2.9/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 0.9 points cooler. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured.

Poverty sits at 4%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Annual rent works out to 20% of average household income of $206,780.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 06001428302

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06001428302?

Census tract 06001428302 in the Bay Farm Island neighborhood scores 6.6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06001428302?

Median gross rent is $3,501/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 14% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06001428302?

4.0% of residents in tract 06001428302 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,022.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06001428302?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 21th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 9th, household 49th, minority 70th, housing 23th.
Q5

Is tract 06001428302 considered part of Bay Farm Island?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06001428302 fall within Bay Farm Island (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 06001428302 struggle to pay rent?

About 5.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 2.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 06001428302 compare to Alameda overall?

Tract 06001428302 scores 6.6/10, lower than the parent city of Alameda at 7.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Alameda; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Alameda

Top eight tracts in Alameda ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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