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Neighborhood · Alameda, CA

Bay Farm Island Eviction Risk: Elevated

2 census tracts · pop 14,225 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 6.5/10 · range 6.5–6.6

Bay Farm Island is a 2-tract neighborhood of Alameda, CA, population 14,225. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 6.5/10, Elevated tier. Against a Alameda baseline of 27.9%, 11% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.

At $3,501 a month, rents sit 42% over what the rest of Alameda commands. What pushes the score up most is tenant-organizing strength at 9.2/10. The voucher gap is 30.5%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears.

On the softer side is economic stress, at 1/10. Running hot is supply constraint at 8.1/10.

SNAP participation is 5.2% of households versus 15.2% nationally. 3.4% of adults carry no health insurance against 11.3% nationally, a common route into sudden unpayable debt.

That places it #8 of 7 neighborhoods in Alameda. Only 13% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin here; price renewals off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. Poverty sits at 3%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

The 2 tracts here are tightly clustered, 0.1 points apart at the extremes. Annual rent works out to 21% of average household income of $197,483.

The area figure travels well to individual addresses here, though the per-tract table below still carries the detail. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
6.5
Elevated
2 tracts · population-weighted
Bay Farm Island vs Alameda How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
11.4% -59%
Alameda: 27.9%
Average gross rent
$3,501 +42%
Alameda: $2,474
Average HH income
$197,483 +50%
Alameda: $132,015
Poverty rate
2.6% -62%
Alameda: 6.9%
Renter share
13.1% -73%
Alameda: 49.3%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Bay Farm Island and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 6.5–6.6

Why Bay Farm Island scores 6.5

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts
6.8
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 8.1–8.1 across tracts
8.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 8.1–8.1 across tracts
8.1
Rent control risk
11% of income on rent · Range 5.1–5.1 across tracts
5.1
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 6.3–6.3 across tracts
6.3
Tenant organizing strength
13% renter households · Range 9.2–9.2 across tracts
9.2
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts
4.5
Economic stress
2.6% below poverty line · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 8.1–8.1 across tracts
8.1
Risk score comparison

Bay Farm Island vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Bay Farm Island score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Bay Farm Island: 6.56.5Bay Farm IslandNeighborhoodParent city: 7.87.8Parent cityhost cityState: 7.67.6Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Bay Farm Island

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
06001428302 6.6 7,022 14% $3,501
06001428301 6.5 7,203 9% $3,501
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 21

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 12%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 46%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 76%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 18%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Bay Farm Island

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Bay Farm Island

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Bay Farm Island?

Bay Farm Island scores 6.5/10 (Elevated tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Bay Farm Island compare to Alameda overall?

Bay Farm Island scores 1.3 points lower than Alameda overall (7.8/10). Renters spend 11% of income on rent vs 28% citywide. Average rent: $3,501 vs $2,474.
Q3

What is the average rent in Bay Farm Island?

Average gross rent in Bay Farm Island is $3,501/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 11% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Bay Farm Island residents are renters?

13% of Bay Farm Island households are renter-occupied (vs 49% in Alameda). The neighborhood has 14,225 residents.
Q5

Is Bay Farm Island a high social-vulnerability area?

Bay Farm Island sits in the 21st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Bay Farm Island have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Bay Farm Island is census tract 06001428302 (score 6.6/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 6.5 to 6.6, a spread of 0.1 points.
Q7

How safe is Bay Farm Island for landlords?

Bay Farm Island carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (6.5/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Alameda as a whole (7.8/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Bay Farm Island?

Bay Farm Island has 13,359 residents. Top groups: Asian (non-Hispanic) (40.4%), White (non-Hispanic) (37.1%), Hispanic / Latino (12.8%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Bay Farm Island

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Alameda

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Bay Farm Island.

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