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Census Tract · Ranked #12,481 of 84,120 nationally

Hayward Eviction Risk: Elevated

Tract 06001438203 · Alameda, CA · pop 4,091

Tract 06001438203 sits in Hayward eviction risk, CA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 7.1/10. roughly one in three of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well below the Alameda County average of 45.5%.

Risk score
7.1
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 7% Stable renters 14% Owners 79%
Tract context
Occupied units1,178
Renter share21.1%
SVI overall0.67
Poverty rate6.8%
Median income$129,113

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
19 th percentile
Rank, 19th percentileLowHigh
#26 of 32 tracts In Hayward
Very Low
Within county
41 th percentile
Rank, 41st percentileLowHigh
#223 of 378 tracts In Alameda
Moderate
Within state
44 th percentile
Rank, 44th percentileLowHigh
#5,095 of 9,109 tracts In California
Moderate
National
85 th percentile
Rank, 85th percentileLowHigh
#12,481 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Hayward and the region

Centroid at 37.6156, -122.0575 · click any tract to drill in

Why Hayward scores 7.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Hayward
8.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.1
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
6.8% poverty · this tract
1.7
Supply constraint
$2,646 rent vs county FMR
4.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Hayward
7.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Hayward
8.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Hayward
6.1

How Hayward compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Hayward risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 7.17.1This tracttract 438203Hayward: 7.87.8Haywardparent cityCounty: 7.87.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 7.57.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 67

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Hayward

The score leans hardest on tenant-organizing strength at 8.5/10. Running hot, local political climate reads 8.3/10.

Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1.7/10. 8% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. It sits 0.7 points below the Alameda County average of 7.8.

At $2,646 a month, rents run 11% over what the rest of Hayward commands. That is riskier than roughly 85% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

Only 21% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. Social vulnerability reads 7/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. Annual rent works out to 25% of average household income of $129,113.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 06001438203

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06001438203?

Census tract 06001438203 in Hayward scores 7.1/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06001438203?

Median gross rent is $2,646/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 34% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06001438203?

6.8% of residents in tract 06001438203 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,091.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06001438203?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 67th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 40th, household 18th, minority 82th, housing 98th.
Q5

What share of households in tract 06001438203 struggle to pay rent?

About 11.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 06001438203 compare to Hayward overall?

Tract 06001438203 scores 7.1/10, lower than the parent city of Hayward at 7.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Hayward eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Hayward

Top eight tracts in Hayward ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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