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Neighborhood · Ranked #26,446 of 84,120 nationally

The Palms Eviction Risk: Moderate , Concord

Tract 06013337202 · Contra Costa, CA · pop 5,515 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi

The The Palms area of Concord is where census tract 06013337202 sits, home to 5,515 residents. Its landlord eviction-risk score is 6.1/10. That is riskier than about 79% of US census tracts.

About 57% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 41% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $2,418 monthly, set against $105,858 in average yearly household income, roughly 27% of income at the averages. Renters make up 28% of occupied homes.

Risk score
4.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 16% Stable renters 12% Owners 72%
Tract context
Occupied units1,971
Renter share27.5%
SVI overall0.85
Poverty rate9.6%
Median income$105,858

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In The Palms
Moderate
Within parent city
63 th percentile
Rank, 63rd percentileLowHigh
#11 of 28 tracts In Concord
Elevated
Within county
68 th percentile
Rank, 68th percentileLowHigh
#78 of 241 tracts In Contra Costa
Elevated
Within state
37 th percentile
Rank, 37th percentileLowHigh
#5,726 of 9,109 tracts In California
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Concord and the region

Centroid at 37.9505, -122.0230 · click any tract to drill in

Why The Palms scores 4.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Concord
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
9.6% poverty · this tract
2.4
Supply constraint
$2,418 rent vs county FMR
4.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Concord
8.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Concord
7.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Concord
6.6

How The Palms compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
The Palms risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.94.9This tracttract 337202Concord: 8.08.0Concordparent cityCounty: 4.14.1Countyavg tract in countyState: 5.65.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 85

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in The Palms

What moves this score most is rent-control risk at 8.3/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Concord eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Contra Costa County average of 5.7 and in line with the California statewide average of 6.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 11.1% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 5.9% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 85th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 06013337202

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06013337202?

Census tract 06013337202 in the The Palms neighborhood scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06013337202?

Median gross rent is $2,418/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06013337202?

9.6% of residents in tract 06013337202 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,515.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06013337202?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 85th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 42th, household 85th, minority 64th, housing 100th.
Q5

Is tract 06013337202 considered part of The Palms?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06013337202 fall within The Palms (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 06013337202 struggle to pay rent?

About 11.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 06013337202 compare to Concord overall?

Tract 06013337202 scores 4.9/10, lower than the parent city of Concord at 8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Concord eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Concord

Top eight tracts in Concord ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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