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Neighborhood · Concord, CA

The Palms Eviction Risk: Elevated

1 census tracts · pop 5,515 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 7.7/10 · range 7.7–7.7

The Palms maps to a single census tract in Concord, CA and houses 5,515 people. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 7.7/10, in the Elevated tier. 41% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate.

Against a Concord baseline of 36.2%, 57% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line. The strongest single driver of the headline number is rent-regulation exposure at 8.3/10.

On the high side is tenant-organizing strength at 7.9/10. On the softer side is economic stress, at 2.4/10. At $2,418 a month, rents sit 6% over what the rest of Concord commands.

Among the 13 mapped neighborhoods of Concord, it ranks #3 by risk, the upper third. Only 28% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin here; price renewals off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. For a like-for-like read, Penny Lane and Wisteria score within a fraction of it.

Social vulnerability runs high at 8.6/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input. Annual rent works out to 27% of average household income of $105,858.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 7.7/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
7.7
Elevated
1 tracts · population-weighted
The Palms vs Concord How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
56.8% +57%
Concord: 36.2%
Average gross rent
$2,418 +6%
Concord: $2,274
Average HH income
$105,858 -3%
Concord: $109,195
Poverty rate
9.6% +8%
Concord: 8.9%
Renter share
27.5% -28%
Concord: 38.4%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across The Palms and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 7.7–7.7

Why The Palms scores 7.7

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts
6.8
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 7.3–7.3 across tracts
7.3
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Rent control risk
57% of income on rent · Range 8.3–8.3 across tracts
8.3
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 6.4–6.4 across tracts
6.4
Tenant organizing strength
28% renter households · Range 7.9–7.9 across tracts
7.9
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 6.6–6.6 across tracts
6.6
Economic stress
9.6% below poverty line · Range 2.4–2.4 across tracts
2.4
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts
4.0
Risk score comparison

The Palms vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

The Palms score vs. parent city, state, U.S.7.7The PalmsNeighborhood7.4Parent cityhost city7.6Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in The Palms

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
06013337202 7.7 5,515 57% $2,418
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 85

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 42%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 85%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 64%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 100%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in The Palms

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About The Palms

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for The Palms?

The Palms scores 7.7/10 (Elevated tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does The Palms compare to Concord overall?

The Palms scores 0.3 points higher than Concord overall (7.4/10). Renters spend 57% of income on rent vs 36% citywide. Average rent: $2,418 vs $2,274.
Q3

What is the average rent in The Palms?

Average gross rent in The Palms is $2,418/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of The Palms residents are renters?

28% of The Palms households are renter-occupied (vs 38% in Concord). The neighborhood has 5,515 residents.
Q5

Is The Palms a high social-vulnerability area?

The Palms sits in the 85th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is The Palms for landlords?

The Palms carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (7.7/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Concord as a whole (7.4/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of The Palms?

The Palms has 5,308 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (51.3%), Hispanic / Latino (28.7%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (9.5%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near The Palms

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Concord

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to The Palms.

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