Brookview Eviction Risk: Moderate , Danville

The voucher gap is 30.5%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Cost burden runs 37% here against 48.7% across Contra Costa County.

Against the Contra Costa County average of 6.8, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.7 points. Running hot, supply constraint reads 8.1/10.

The severe-burden share is 18%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 7.5/10.

Housing insecurity runs 4.7% against 14.2% nationally. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 2.7% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. On the national scale it lands near the 63rd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

Only 13% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 1.2/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 2.4 points cooler.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 2%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.