Crow Canyon Heights Eviction Risk: Moderate , San Ramon

The main counterweight is economic stress at 1.2/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 8.3/10. Against Contra Costa County at 48.7%, 41% of renters here are cost-burdened.

It sits 1.1 points below the Contra Costa County average of 6.8. Running hot, regional political climate reads 7.3/10. Housing insecurity runs 6.2% against 14.2% nationally.

The voucher gap is 13.9%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 3.4% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

That is riskier than roughly 74% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 3.5/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 1.8 points cooler.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 5%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Average gross rent is $3,056, close to the San Ramon average.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.