Monte Sereno Eviction Risk: Moderate , Danville

The clearest offset is economic stress at 1.2/10. The voucher gap is 30.5%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

Sitting well above the midpoint, supply constraint reads 8.1/10. It sits 1.5 points below the Contra Costa County average of 6.8.

Running hot, local political climate reads 7.5/10. Housing insecurity runs 4.8% against 14.2% nationally. 9% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Inability to pay a utility bill runs 2.8% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. On the national scale it lands near the 67th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

Only 8% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 2/10. Against average income of $236,957, annual rent is just 18%.

Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 2.2 points cooler. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured.

Poverty sits at 5%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.