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Neighborhood · Ranked #73,892 of 84,120 nationally

Monte Sereno Eviction Risk: Lower , Danville

Tract 06013346205 · Contra Costa, CA · pop 4,325 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi

Eviction risk in the Monte Sereno area of Danville centers on tract 06013346205, which scores 4.4/10 (Moderate tier) and is home to 4,325 residents. It lands near the 21st percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

9% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a modest level, and 9% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $3,501 a month while the average household earns $236,957 a year, roughly 18% of income at the averages. Renters make up 8% of occupied homes.

Risk score
2
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 1% Stable renters 7% Owners 92%
Tract context
Occupied units1,528
Renter share7.6%
SVI overall0.11
Poverty rate4.8%
Median income$236,957

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Monte Sereno
Moderate
Within parent city
86 th percentile
Rank, 86th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 8 tracts In Danville
High
Within county
8 th percentile
Rank, 8th percentileLowHigh
#223 of 241 tracts In Contra Costa
Very Low
Within state
1 th percentile
Rank, 1st percentileLowHigh
#8,991 of 9,109 tracts In California
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Danville and the region

Centroid at 37.8472, -121.9581 · click any tract to drill in

Why Monte Sereno scores 2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Danville
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
4.8% poverty · this tract
1.2
Supply constraint
$3,501 rent vs county FMR
8.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Danville
5.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Danville
3.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Danville
4.2

How Monte Sereno compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Monte Sereno risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 2.02.0This tracttract 346205Danville: 8.18.1Danvilleparent cityCounty: 4.14.1Countyavg tract in countyState: 5.65.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 11

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Monte Sereno

The heaviest input here is supply constraint at 8.1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Danville, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Contra Costa County average of 5.7 and below the California statewide average of 6.1. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 4.8% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 2.8% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 11th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 06013346205

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06013346205?

Census tract 06013346205 in the Monte Sereno neighborhood scores 2/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06013346205?

Median gross rent is $3,501/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 9% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06013346205?

4.8% of residents in tract 06013346205 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,325.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06013346205?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 11th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 8th, household 53th, minority 34th, housing 11th.
Q5

Is tract 06013346205 considered part of Monte Sereno?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06013346205 fall within Monte Sereno (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 06013346205 struggle to pay rent?

About 4.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 2.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 06013346205 compare to Danville overall?

Tract 06013346205 scores 2/10, lower than the parent city of Danville at 8.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Danville; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Danville

Top eight tracts in Danville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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