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Neighborhood · Ranked #28,095 of 84,120 nationally

Alamo Oaks Eviction Risk: Moderate , Danville

Tract 06013346206 · Contra Costa, CA · pop 3,216 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

With a score of 5.3/10, tract 06013346206 in the Alamo Oaks area of Danville, CA reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,216 residents. 52% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score
5.3
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 6% Stable renters 6% Owners 88%
Tract context
Occupied units1,183
Renter share11.7%
SVI overall0.27
Poverty rate4.1%
Median income$250,001

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Alamo Oaks
Moderate
Within parent city
57 th percentile
Rank, 57th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 8 tracts In Danville
Elevated
Within county
11 th percentile
Rank, 11th percentileLowHigh
#215 of 241 tracts In Contra Costa
Very Low
Within state
10 th percentile
Rank, 10th percentileLowHigh
#8,206 of 9,109 tracts In California
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Danville and the region

Centroid at 37.8416, -122.0018 · click any tract to drill in

Why Alamo Oaks scores 5.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Danville
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
4.1% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
tract rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Danville
5.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Danville
3.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Danville
4.2

How Alamo Oaks compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Alamo Oaks risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.3This tracttract 3462066.2Danvilleparent city6.8Countyavg tract in county7.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 27

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Alamo Oaks

Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1/10. It sits 1.5 points below the Contra Costa County average of 6.8.

Food insecurity runs 5.7% against 17.8% nationally. Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 7.5/10. On the high side, regional political climate reads 7.3/10.

Adults with no health insurance runs 3.2% against 11.3% nationally. On the national scale it lands near the 67th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

Only 12% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. Social vulnerability reads 3.4/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 2.2 points cooler.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 4%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 06013346206

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06013346206?

Census tract 06013346206 in the Alamo Oaks neighborhood scores 5.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the poverty rate in tract 06013346206?

4.1% of residents in tract 06013346206 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,216.
Q3

How socially vulnerable is tract 06013346206?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 27th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 24th, household 18th, minority 51th, housing 44th.
Q4

Is tract 06013346206 considered part of Alamo Oaks?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06013346206 fall within Alamo Oaks (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q5

What share of households in tract 06013346206 struggle to pay rent?

About 5.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 06013346206 compare to Danville overall?

Tract 06013346206 scores 5.3/10, lower than the parent city of Danville at 6.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Danville; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Danville

Top eight tracts in Danville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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