Wilder Eviction Risk: Moderate , Orinda

Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1/10. The voucher gap is 30.5%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

Against the Contra Costa County average of 6.8, this tract reads safer for landlords by 2.0 points. On the high side, supply constraint reads 8.1/10.

Against Contra Costa County at 48.7%, 40% of renters here are cost-burdened. Running hot, local political climate reads 7.5/10. Housing insecurity runs 5.0% against 14.2% nationally.

Inability to pay a utility bill runs 2.8% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. This ground was mapped B ("Still Desirable") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Oakland. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. On the national scale it lands near the 58th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

Only 6% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 1.6/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Against average income of $250,001, annual rent is just 17%. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 2.7 points cooler.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.