Skip to content
Census Tract · Ranked #35,669 of 84,120 nationally

Orinda Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 06013354002 · Contra Costa, CA · pop 6,943 · 88% of tract blocks fall in Orinda

Tract 06013354002 sits in Orinda, CA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.8/10. At $472 a month, rents run 87% under what the rest of Orinda commands.

Risk score
4.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 4% Stable renters 7% Owners 89%
Tract context
Occupied units2,850
Renter share11.6%
SVI overall0.16
Poverty rate2.9%
Median income$250,001

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
33 th percentile
Rank, 33rd percentileLowHigh
#3 of 4 tracts In Orinda
Low
Within county
2 th percentile
Rank, 2nd percentileLowHigh
#237 of 241 tracts In Contra Costa
Very Low
Within state
4 th percentile
Rank, 4th percentileLowHigh
#8,782 of 9,109 tracts In California
Very Low
National
58 th percentile
Rank, 58th percentileLowHigh
#35,669 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Orinda and the region

Centroid at 37.9016, -122.1826 · click any tract to drill in

Why Orinda scores 4.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Orinda
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
2.9% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$472 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Orinda
6.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Orinda
2.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Orinda
4.0

How Orinda compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Orinda risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.8This tracttract 3540025.9Orindaparent city6.8Countyavg tract in county7.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 16

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Orinda

The clearest offset is economic stress at 1/10. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1/10.

It sits 2.0 points below the Contra Costa County average of 6.8. Cost burden runs 39% here against 48.7% across Contra Costa County. SNAP participation runs 3.9% against 15.2% nationally.

On the high side, local political climate reads 7.5/10. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 2.6% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

Nationally it ranks #35,669 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Only 12% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 2.5/10.

Rent consumes only 2% of average household income of $250,001, an unusually wide affordability cushion. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 2.7 points cooler.

Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 3%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 06013354002

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06013354002?

Census tract 06013354002 in Orinda scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06013354002?

Median gross rent is $472/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 39% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06013354002?

2.9% of residents in tract 06013354002 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,943.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06013354002?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 16th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 6th, household 33th, minority 38th, housing 36th.
Q5

What share of households in tract 06013354002 struggle to pay rent?

About 4.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 2.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 06013354002 compare to Orinda overall?

Tract 06013354002 scores 4.8/10, lower than the parent city of Orinda at 5.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Orinda; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Orinda

Top eight tracts in Orinda ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Related