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Neighborhood · Ranked #35,669 of 84,120 nationally

Glorietta Eviction Risk: Moderate , Orinda

Tract 06013353002 · Contra Costa, CA · pop 4,182 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi

Tract 06013353002 sits in the Glorietta area of Orinda, CA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.8/10. It is home to 4,182 residents. Against Contra Costa County at 48.7%, 14% of renters here are cost-burdened.

Risk score
4.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 1% Stable renters 3% Owners 96%
Tract context
Occupied units1,529
Renter share3.9%
SVI overall0.07
Poverty rate1.8%
Median income$250,001

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Glorietta
Moderate
Within parent city
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 4 tracts In Orinda
Elevated
Within county
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#240 of 241 tracts In Contra Costa
Very Low
Within state
4 th percentile
Rank, 4th percentileLowHigh
#8,782 of 9,109 tracts In California
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Orinda and the region

Centroid at 37.8795, -122.1684 · click any tract to drill in

Why Glorietta scores 4.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Orinda
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
1.8% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$3,501 rent vs county FMR
8.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Orinda
6.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Orinda
2.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Orinda
4.0

How Glorietta compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Glorietta risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.8This tracttract 3530025.9Orindaparent city6.8Countyavg tract in county7.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 7

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Glorietta

The clearest offset is economic stress at 1/10. The voucher gap is 30.5%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

It sits 2.0 points below the Contra Costa County average of 6.8. On the high side, supply constraint reads 8.1/10.

Food insecurity runs 4.9% against 17.8% nationally. Severe burden reaches 14%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Running hot, local political climate reads 7.5/10. Adults with no health insurance runs 2.9% against 11.3% nationally. Nationally it ranks #35,669 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

Only 4% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 1.7/10. Against average income of $250,001, annual rent is just 17%.

Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 2.7 points cooler.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 06013353002

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06013353002?

Census tract 06013353002 in the Glorietta neighborhood scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06013353002?

Median gross rent is $3,501/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 14% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06013353002?

1.8% of residents in tract 06013353002 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,182.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06013353002?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 7th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 0th, household 54th, minority 40th, housing 14th.
Q5

Is tract 06013353002 considered part of Glorietta?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06013353002 fall within Glorietta (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 06013353002 struggle to pay rent?

About 4.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 2.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 06013353002 compare to Orinda overall?

Tract 06013353002 scores 4.8/10, lower than the parent city of Orinda at 5.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Orinda; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Orinda

Top eight tracts in Orinda ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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