Neighborhood · Ranked #18,425 of 84,120 nationally

Dougherty Valley Eviction Risk: Elevated , San Ramon

Tract 06013355115 · Contra Costa, CA · pop 10,013 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

The Dougherty Valley area of San Ramon is where census tract 06013355115 sits, home to 10,013 residents. Its landlord eviction-risk score is 5.9/10. It lands near the 73rd percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 53% of renter households, a severe level, and 31% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $2,703 a month against an average household income of $160,703 a year, roughly 20% of income at the averages. About 57% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score

6.6

Elevated

Confidence 100% · 1-10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 30% Stable renters 27% Owners 43%

Tract context

Occupied units3,891

Renter share57.0%

SVI overall0.43

Poverty rate10.5%

Median income$160,703

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across San Ramon and the region

Centroid at 37.7626, -121.9122 · click any tract to drill in

Why Dougherty Valley scores 6.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from San Ramon

8.3

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

7.3

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

10.5% poverty · this tract

2.6

Supply constraint

$2,703 rent vs county FMR

5.1

Rent control risk

Inherited from San Ramon

5.9

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.7

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from San Ramon

6.4

Housing court bias

Inherited from San Ramon

4.3

How Dougherty Valley compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 43

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

32%Socioeconomic
46%Household composition
83%Racial/ethnic minority
40%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Dougherty Valley. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

8.6%Housing insecurity
4.5%Utility-shutoff threat
10.2%Food insecurity
7.5%SNAP enrollment
5.8%Transit barriers
4.1%No health insurance
13.2%Frequent mental distress
17.8%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Dougherty Valley

The score leans hardest on eviction process difficulty at 6.7/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from San Ramon, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Contra Costa County average of 5.7 and in line with the California statewide average of 6.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 8.6% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 4.5% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is Asian and White and ranks around the 43rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 06013355115

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06013355115?

Census tract 06013355115 in the Dougherty Valley neighborhood scores 6.6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06013355115?

Median gross rent is $2,703/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06013355115?

10.5% of residents in tract 06013355115 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 10,013.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06013355115?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 43th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 32th, household 46th, minority 83th, housing 40th.

Is tract 06013355115 considered part of Dougherty Valley?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06013355115 fall within Dougherty Valley (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 06013355115 struggle to pay rent?

About 8.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06013355115 compare to San Ramon overall?

Tract 06013355115 scores 6.6/10, higher than the parent city of San Ramon at 5.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from San Ramon; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in San Ramon

Top eight tracts in San Ramon ranked by composite eviction-risk score.