Within neighborhood
75
th percentile
High
Neighborhood · Ranked #16,571 of 84,120 nationally
Dougherty Valley Eviction Risk: Elevated , San Ramon
Tract 06013355115 · Contra Costa, CA · pop 10,013 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
Tract 06013355115 sits in the Dougherty Valley area of San Ramon, CA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 6.3/10. Population here is 10,013. 31% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
6.3
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 30%
Stable renters 27%
Owners 43%
Tract context
Occupied units3,891
Renter share57.0%
SVI overall0.43
Poverty rate10.5%
Median income$160,703
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
94
th percentile
Very High
Within county
43
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
28
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across San Ramon and the region
Centroid at 37.7626, -121.9122 · click any tract to drill in
Why Dougherty Valley scores 6.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from San Ramon
8.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
10.5% poverty · this tract
2.6
Supply constraint
$2,703 rent vs county FMR
5.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from San Ramon
5.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from San Ramon
6.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from San Ramon
4.3
How Dougherty Valley compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 43
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 32%Socioeconomic
- 46%Household composition
- 83%Racial/ethnic minority
- 40%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Dougherty Valley. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 8.6%Housing insecurity
- 4.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 10.2%Food insecurity
- 7.5%SNAP enrollment
- 5.8%Transit barriers
- 4.1%No health insurance
- 13.2%Frequent mental distress
- 17.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Dougherty Valley
The score leans hardest on local political climate at 8.3/10. Disability prevalence runs 17.8% against 31.5% nationally. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 2.6/10.
On the high side, regional political climate reads 7.3/10. Against Contra Costa County at 48.7%, 53% of renters here are cost-burdened.
Food insecurity runs 10.2% against 17.8% nationally. At $2,703 a month, rents run 9% under what the rest of San Ramon commands.
That is riskier than roughly 80% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 4.8/10.
Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 1.2 points cooler. It tracks the Contra Costa County average of 6.8 closely.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 06013355115
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06013355115?
Census tract 06013355115 in the Dougherty Valley neighborhood scores 6.3/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 06013355115?
Median gross rent is $2,703/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 06013355115?
10.5% of residents in tract 06013355115 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 10,013.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 06013355115?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 43th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 32th, household 46th, minority 83th, housing 40th.
Q5
Is tract 06013355115 considered part of Dougherty Valley?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06013355115 fall within Dougherty Valley (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 06013355115 struggle to pay rent?
About 8.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 06013355115 compare to San Ramon overall?
Tract 06013355115 scores 6.3/10, lower than the parent city of San Ramon at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from San Ramon; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in San Ramon
Top eight tracts in San Ramon ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · CA
Dougherty Valley
6.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · CA
Windemere
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · CA
Crow Canyon Heights
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · CA
06013345103
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · CA
06013345111
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · CA
Crow Canyon Heights
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · CA
Danville Ranch
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · CA
06013345101
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
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