5 census tracts · pop 29,766 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.9/10
· range 5.5–6.8
Dougherty Valley takes in 5 census tracts of San Ramon, CA, population 29,766. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 5.9/10, Moderate tier. Cost burden runs 43% against 29.7% citywide, putting Dougherty Valley 13.5% over its own city.
The main counterweight is economic stress, at 1.8/10. The severe-burden share is 20%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. Internally this is not one market. Tract scores span 5.5 to 6.8, so two buildings inside the same boundary can carry materially different risk.
SNAP participation is 5.6% of households versus 15.2% nationally. 3.4% of adults carry no health insurance against 11.3% nationally, a common route into sudden unpayable debt. The voucher gap is 11.5%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears.
Against average income of $213,539, annual rent is only 17%, a wide affordability cushion. Poverty sits at 7%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.
Average gross rent runs $2,989, close to the San Ramon average. 34% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Underwrite the address, not the area: with 1.3 points between its best and worst tract, the per-tract table below is the operative number. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.
Risk score
5.9
Moderate
5 tracts · population-weighted
Dougherty Valley vs San RamonHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority85%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport30%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Dougherty Valley
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
7.2%Housing insecurity
3.6%Utility shutoff threat
8.6%Food insecurity
5.8%SNAP enrollment
3.5%No health insurance
16.7%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Dougherty Valley
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Dougherty Valley?
Dougherty Valley scores 5.9/10 (Moderate tier) across 5 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Dougherty Valley compare to San Ramon overall?
Dougherty Valley scores 0.7 points lower than San Ramon overall (6.6/10). Renters spend 43% of income on rent vs 30% citywide. Average rent: $2,989 vs $2,968.
Q3
What is the average rent in Dougherty Valley?
Average gross rent in Dougherty Valley is $2,989/month (pop-weighted across 5 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Dougherty Valley residents are renters?
34% of Dougherty Valley households are renter-occupied (vs 29% in San Ramon). The neighborhood has 29,766 residents.
Q5
Is Dougherty Valley a high social-vulnerability area?
Dougherty Valley sits in the 28th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in Dougherty Valley have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in Dougherty Valley is census tract 06013355123 (score 6.8/10). Across the 5 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 5.5 to 6.8, a spread of 1.3 points.
Q7
How safe is Dougherty Valley for landlords?
Dougherty Valley carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.9/10). Pop-weighted across 5 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to San Ramon as a whole (6.6/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of Dougherty Valley?
Dougherty Valley has 30,030 residents. Top groups: Asian (non-Hispanic) (65.6%), White (non-Hispanic) (19.9%), Other / Multiracial (6.2%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
