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Neighborhood · Ranked #18,240 of 84,120 nationally

Marina Bay Eviction Risk: Moderate , Richmond

Tract 06013380001 · Contra Costa, CA · pop 2,896 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

The Marina Bay area of Richmond anchors census tract 06013380001, which lands at 5.9/10 on landlord eviction risk. It lands near the 73rd percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

About 40% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 24% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $2,627 a month while the average household earns $131,741 a year, roughly 24% of income at the averages. Renters make up 37% of occupied homes.

Risk score
5.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 15% Stable renters 22% Owners 63%
Tract context
Occupied units1,833
Renter share36.6%
SVI overall0.14
Poverty rate6.2%
Median income$131,741

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Marina Bay
Moderate
Within parent city
15 th percentile
Rank, 15th percentileLowHigh
#18 of 21 tracts In Richmond
Very Low
Within county
77 th percentile
Rank, 77th percentileLowHigh
#56 of 241 tracts In Contra Costa
High
Within state
48 th percentile
Rank, 48th percentileLowHigh
#4,697 of 9,109 tracts In California
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Richmond and the region

Centroid at 37.9082, -122.3437 · click any tract to drill in

Why Marina Bay scores 5.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Richmond
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
6.2% poverty · this tract
1.5
Supply constraint
$2,627 rent vs county FMR
4.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Richmond
8.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Richmond
8.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Richmond
7.3

How Marina Bay compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Marina Bay risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.55.5This tracttract 380001Richmond: 8.18.1Richmondparent cityCounty: 4.14.1Countyavg tract in countyState: 5.65.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 14

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Marina Bay

The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 8.9/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Richmond eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Contra Costa County average of 5.7 and in line with the California statewide average of 6.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 6.9% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 3.9% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is White and Asian and ranks around the 14th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 06013380001

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06013380001?

Census tract 06013380001 in the Marina Bay neighborhood scores 5.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06013380001?

Median gross rent is $2,627/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 40% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06013380001?

6.2% of residents in tract 06013380001 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,896.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06013380001?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 14th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 17th, household 11th, minority 72th, housing 18th.
Q5

Is tract 06013380001 considered part of Marina Bay?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06013380001 fall within Marina Bay (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 06013380001 struggle to pay rent?

About 6.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 06013380001 compare to Richmond overall?

Tract 06013380001 scores 5.5/10, lower than the parent city of Richmond at 8.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Richmond eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Richmond

Top eight tracts in Richmond ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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