Neighborhood · Ranked #12,481 of 84,120 nationally
Marina Bay Eviction Risk: Elevated , Richmond
Tract 06013380001 ·
Contra Costa, CA · pop 2,896 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
Census tract 06013380001 covers part of the Marina Bay area of Richmond, CA, and scores 7.1/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 2,896. The score leans hardest on tenant-organizing strength at 8.9/10.
Risk score
7.1
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 15%Stable renters 22%Owners 63%
Tract context
Occupied units1,833
Renter share36.6%
SVI overall0.14
Poverty rate6.2%
Median income$131,741
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In Marina Bay
Moderate
Within parent city
15th percentile
#18 of 21 tracts In Richmond
Very Low
Within county
61th percentile
#94 of 241 tracts In Contra Costa
Elevated
Within state
44th percentile
#5,095 of 9,109 tracts In California
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Richmond and the region
Centroid at 37.9082, -122.3437 · click any tract to drill in
Why Marina Bay scores 7.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Richmond
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
6.2% poverty · this tract
1.5
Supply constraint
$2,627 rent vs county FMR
4.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Richmond
8.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Richmond
8.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Richmond
7.3
How Marina Bay compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 14
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
17%Socioeconomic
11%Household composition
72%Racial/ethnic minority
18%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
6.9%Housing insecurity
3.9%Utility-shutoff threat
6.6%Food insecurity
5.5%SNAP enrollment
4.6%Transit barriers
3.5%No health insurance
13.0%Frequent mental distress
19.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Marina Bay
Average gross rent is $2,627, 34% above the Richmond average. Severe burden reaches 24%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 8.5/10. Running cool, economic stress reads 1.5/10. 40% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, lower than the Contra Costa County average of 48.7%.
Food insecurity runs 6.6% against 17.8% nationally. Adults with no health insurance runs 3.5% against 11.3% nationally. That is riskier than roughly 85% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 2.3/10. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. It tracks the Contra Costa County average of 6.8 closely.
Annual rent works out to 24% of average household income of $131,741. 37% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 06013380001
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06013380001?
Census tract 06013380001 in the Marina Bay neighborhood scores 7.1/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 06013380001?
Median gross rent is $2,627/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 40% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 06013380001?
6.2% of residents in tract 06013380001 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,896.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 06013380001?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 14th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 17th, household 11th, minority 72th, housing 18th.
Q5
Is tract 06013380001 considered part of Marina Bay?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06013380001 fall within Marina Bay (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 06013380001 struggle to pay rent?
About 6.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 06013380001 compare to Richmond overall?
Tract 06013380001 scores 7.1/10, lower than the parent city of Richmond at 7.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Richmond eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Richmond
Top eight tracts in Richmond ranked by composite eviction-risk score.