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Census Tract · Ranked #17,650 of 84,120 nationally

East Niles Eviction Risk: Elevated

Tract 06029001003 · Kern, CA · pop 3,338

06029001003 is a census tract in East Niles, CA. It scores 6.1/10 for landlords. Population here is 3,338. 40% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score
6.1
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 13% Stable renters 2% Owners 85%
Tract context
Occupied units982
Renter share14.9%
SVI overall0.81
Poverty rate8.2%
Median income$71,806

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#8 of 8 tracts In East Niles
Very Low
Within county
42 th percentile
Rank, 42nd percentileLowHigh
#138 of 236 tracts In Kern
Moderate
Within state
24 th percentile
Rank, 24th percentileLowHigh
#6,893 of 9,109 tracts In California
Low
National
79 th percentile
Rank, 79th percentileLowHigh
#17,650 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across East Niles and the region

Centroid at 35.3724, -118.9022 · click any tract to drill in

Why East Niles scores 6.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from East Niles
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.5
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
8.2% poverty · this tract
2.0
Supply constraint
$1,827 rent vs county FMR
8.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from East Niles
9.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from East Niles
8.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from East Niles
9.1

How East Niles compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
East Niles risk score vs. parent city / county / state6.1This tracttract 0010037.0East Nilesparent city6.4Countyavg tract in county7.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 81

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in East Niles

Against Kern County at 49.2%, 85% of renters here are cost-burdened. Average gross rent is $1,827, 46% above the East Niles average. The score leans hardest on rent-regulation exposure at 9.2/10.

Running hot, housing-court posture reads 9.1/10. The voucher gap is 32.4%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.2/10.

Food insecurity runs 27.7% against 17.8% nationally. Adults with no health insurance runs 20.5% against 11.3% nationally.

That is riskier than roughly 79% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Only 15% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 8.3/10.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 06029001003

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06029001003?

Census tract 06029001003 in East Niles scores 6.1/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06029001003?

Median gross rent is $1,827/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 85% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06029001003?

8.2% of residents in tract 06029001003 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,338.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06029001003?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 81th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 75th, household 89th, minority 91th, housing 54th.
Q5

What share of households in tract 06029001003 struggle to pay rent?

About 23.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 06029001003 compare to East Niles overall?

Tract 06029001003 scores 6.1/10, lower than the parent city of East Niles at 7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from East Niles; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in East Niles

Top eight tracts in East Niles ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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