Skip to content
Neighborhood · Ranked #5,690 of 84,120 nationally

South Carthay Eviction Risk: Elevated , Los Angeles

Tract 06037216401 · Los Angeles, CA · pop 3,295 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

Eviction risk in the South Carthay area of Los Angeles centers on tract 06037216401, which scores $1/10 (Elevated tier) and is home to 3,295 residents. That is riskier than about 95% of US census tracts.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 53% of renter households, a severe level, and 27% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $2,425 monthly, set against $93,229 in average yearly household income, roughly 31% of income at the averages. About 95% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
6.8
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 50% Stable renters 45% Owners 5%
Tract context
Occupied units1,792
Renter share95.1%
SVI overall0.70
Poverty rate9.5%
Median income$93,229

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 7 tracts In South Carthay
Very High
Within parent city
33 th percentile
Rank, 33rd percentileLowHigh
#744 of 1,117 tracts In Los Angeles
Low
Within county
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1,238 of 2,495 tracts In Los Angeles
Moderate
Within state
74 th percentile
Rank, 74th percentileLowHigh
#2,402 of 9,109 tracts In California
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Los Angeles and the region

Centroid at 34.0567, -118.3797 · click any tract to drill in

Why South Carthay scores 6.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Los Angeles
9.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.2
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
9.5% poverty · this tract
2.4
Supply constraint
$2,425 rent vs county FMR
4.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Los Angeles
10.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
9.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Los Angeles
9.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Los Angeles
9.0

How South Carthay compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
South Carthay risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 6.86.8This tracttract 216401Los Angeles: 9.99.9Los Angelesparent cityCounty: 6.76.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 5.65.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 70

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within South Carthay. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in South Carthay

The score leans hardest on rent-control risk at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Los Angeles eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Los Angeles County average of 6.5 and above the California statewide average of 6.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of C ("Declining"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 70th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 06037216401

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06037216401?

Census tract 06037216401 in the South Carthay neighborhood scores 6.8/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06037216401?

Median gross rent is $2,425/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06037216401?

9.5% of residents in tract 06037216401 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,295.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06037216401?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 70th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 64th, household 26th, minority 54th, housing 92th.
Q5

Is tract 06037216401 considered part of South Carthay?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06037216401 fall within South Carthay (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 06037216401 struggle to pay rent?

About 9.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 06037216401 compare to Los Angeles overall?

Tract 06037216401 scores 6.8/10, lower than the parent city of Los Angeles at 9.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Los Angeles eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 06037216401 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Los Angeles

Top eight tracts in Los Angeles ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Related