Neighborhood · Ranked #7,456 of 84,120 nationally

South Carthay Eviction Risk: Elevated , Los Angeles

Tract 06037217002 · Los Angeles, CA · pop 4,859 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

Here is how census tract 06037217002, in South Carthay in Los Angeles eviction risk, looks to a landlord: a 6.9/10 eviction-risk score (Elevated tier) across a population of 4,859. It lands near the 94th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

55% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 20% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $2,414 a month while the average household earns $104,095 a year, roughly 28% of income at the averages. About 80% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score

6.5

Elevated

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 44% Stable renters 36% Owners 20%

Tract context

Occupied units2,103

Renter share80.1%

SVI overall0.59

Poverty rate8.6%

Median income$104,095

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Los Angeles and the region

Centroid at 34.0495, -118.3805 · click any tract to drill in

Why South Carthay scores 6.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Los Angeles

9.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

7.2

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

8.6% poverty · this tract

2.2

Supply constraint

$2,414 rent vs county FMR

4.2

Rent control risk

Inherited from Los Angeles

10.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

9.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Los Angeles

9.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Los Angeles

9.0

How South Carthay compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 59

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

48%Socioeconomic
33%Household composition
42%Racial/ethnic minority
86%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
34%Grade B
66%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within South Carthay. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

10.5%Housing insecurity
5.2%Utility-shutoff threat
11.4%Food insecurity
10.8%SNAP enrollment
6.9%Transit barriers
5.2%No health insurance
16.6%Frequent mental distress
25.5%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in South Carthay

The heaviest input here is rent-control risk at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Los Angeles eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Los Angeles County average of 6.5 and above the California statewide average of 6.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 10.5% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 5.2% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 59th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 06037217002

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06037217002?

Census tract 06037217002 in the South Carthay neighborhood scores 6.5/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06037217002?

Median gross rent is $2,414/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06037217002?

8.6% of residents in tract 06037217002 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,859.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06037217002?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 59th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 48th, household 33th, minority 42th, housing 86th.

Is tract 06037217002 considered part of South Carthay?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06037217002 fall within South Carthay (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 06037217002 struggle to pay rent?

About 10.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06037217002 compare to Los Angeles overall?

Tract 06037217002 scores 6.5/10, lower than the parent city of Los Angeles at 9.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Los Angeles eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 06037217002 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Los Angeles

Top eight tracts in Los Angeles ranked by composite eviction-risk score.