Neighborhood · Ranked #4,782 of 84,120 nationally

Hollydale Eviction Risk: Elevated , Downey

Tract 06037541802 · Los Angeles, CA · pop 4,880 · neighborhood within 1.5 mi

For landlords sizing up the Hollydale area of Downey, census tract 06037541802 carries an elevated eviction-risk score of 6.2/10. On the national scale it ranks #15,620 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

78% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 34% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,729 monthly, set against $72,435 in average yearly household income, roughly 29% of income at the averages. Renters make up 25% of occupied homes.

Risk score

Elevated

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 20% Stable renters 6% Owners 74%

Tract context

Occupied units1,249

Renter share25.3%

SVI overall0.79

Poverty rate9.6%

Median income$72,435

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Downey and the region

Centroid at 33.9099, -118.1867 · click any tract to drill in

Why Hollydale scores 7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Downey

7.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

7.2

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

9.6% poverty · this tract

2.4

Supply constraint

$1,729 rent vs county FMR

1.6

Rent control risk

Inherited from Downey

8.6

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Downey

9.2

Housing court bias

Inherited from Downey

8.0

How Hollydale compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 79

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

96%Socioeconomic
13%Household composition
99%Racial/ethnic minority
66%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
0%Grade B
21%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Hollydale. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

27.2%Housing insecurity
11.0%Utility-shutoff threat
32.3%Food insecurity
26.5%SNAP enrollment
14.9%Transit barriers
21.9%No health insurance
18.3%Frequent mental distress
37.1%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Hollydale

The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 9.2/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Downey eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Los Angeles County average of 6.5 and in line with the California statewide average of 6.1. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of C ("Declining"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.

The tract is predominantly Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 79th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 06037541802

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06037541802?

Census tract 06037541802 in the Hollydale neighborhood scores 7/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06037541802?

Median gross rent is $1,729/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 78% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06037541802?

9.6% of residents in tract 06037541802 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,880.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06037541802?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 79th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 96th, household 13th, minority 99th, housing 66th.

Is tract 06037541802 considered part of Hollydale?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06037541802 fall within Hollydale (neighborhood centroid within 1.5 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 06037541802 struggle to pay rent?

About 27.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06037541802 compare to Downey overall?

Tract 06037541802 scores 7/10, lower than the parent city of Downey at 8.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Downey eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 06037541802 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Downey

Top eight tracts in Downey ranked by composite eviction-risk score.