17 census tracts · pop 72,394 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 7.9/10
· range 6.5–9.3
Hollydale is a 17-tract neighborhood of Downey, CA, population 72,394. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 7.9/10, Elevated tier. Against a Downey baseline of 33.6%, 58% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.
The strongest single driver of the headline number is tenant-organizing strength at 9.3/10. Severe burden reaches 27%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. Scores across the 17 constituent tracts range from 6.5 to 9.3. A 2.8-point internal spread means block-level underwriting beats area-level here.
On the softer side is supply constraint, at 1.8/10. Sitting well above the midpoint is rent-regulation exposure at 8.2/10.
Food insecurity affects 28.0% of adults, 10.2 points above the national rate. 18.7% of adults carry no health insurance against 11.3% nationally, a common route into sudden unpayable debt.
At $1,771 a month, rents sit 9% under what the rest of Downey commands. Social vulnerability runs high at 8.4/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input. Annual rent works out to 27% of average household income of $78,727.
47% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Underwrite the address, not the area: with 2.8 points between its best and worst tract, the per-tract table below is the operative number. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.
Risk score
7.9
Elevated
17 tracts · population-weighted
Hollydale vs DowneyHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority94%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport72%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Hollydale
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
24.3%Housing insecurity
10.0%Utility shutoff threat
28.4%Food insecurity
23.4%SNAP enrollment
18.9%No health insurance
34.7%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Hollydale
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Hollydale?
Hollydale scores 7.9/10 (Elevated tier) across 17 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Hollydale compare to Downey overall?
Hollydale scores 0.0 points higher than Downey overall (7.9/10). Renters spend 58% of income on rent vs 34% citywide. Average rent: $1,771 vs $1,937.
Q3
What is the average rent in Hollydale?
Average gross rent in Hollydale is $1,771/month (pop-weighted across 17 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Hollydale residents are renters?
47% of Hollydale households are renter-occupied (vs 49% in Downey). The neighborhood has 72,394 residents.
Q5
Is Hollydale a high social-vulnerability area?
Hollydale sits in the 83rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in Hollydale have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in Hollydale is census tract 06037540000 (score 9.3/10). Across the 17 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 6.5 to 9.3, a spread of 2.8 points.
Q7
How safe is Hollydale for landlords?
Hollydale carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (7.9/10). Pop-weighted across 17 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Downey as a whole (7.9/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of Hollydale?
Hollydale has 71,018 residents. Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (83%), Black (non-Hispanic) (6.4%), White (non-Hispanic) (6.1%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
