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Neighborhood · Ranked #20,506 of 84,120 nationally

Kelly Gulch Eviction Risk: Moderate , Topanga

Tract 06037800103 · Los Angeles, CA · pop 3,416 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

Tract 06037800103 sits in the Kelly Gulch area of Topanga, CA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.8/10. It is home to 3,416 residents. Severe burden reaches 73%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Risk score
5.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 9% Stable renters 3% Owners 88%
Tract context
Occupied units1,168
Renter share12.8%
SVI overall0.34
Poverty rate8.3%
Median income$136,856

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Kelly Gulch
Moderate
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 3 tracts In Topanga
Very High
Within county
8 th percentile
Rank, 8th percentileLowHigh
#2,288 of 2,495 tracts In Los Angeles
Very Low
Within state
19 th percentile
Rank, 19th percentileLowHigh
#7,378 of 9,109 tracts In California
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Topanga and the region

Centroid at 34.1189, -118.6018 · click any tract to drill in

Why Kelly Gulch scores 5.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Topanga
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.2
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
8.3% poverty · this tract
2.1
Supply constraint
$3,501 rent vs county FMR
8.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Topanga
8.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Topanga
5.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Topanga
6.4

How Kelly Gulch compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Kelly Gulch risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.85.8This tracttract 800103Topanga: 7.27.2Topangaparent cityCounty: 8.48.4Countyavg tract in countyState: 7.57.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 34

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Kelly Gulch

Against Los Angeles County at 53.8%, 73% of renters here are cost-burdened. Against the Los Angeles County average of 8.4, this tract reads safer for landlords by 2.6 points.

What pushes it up most is rent-regulation exposure at 8.9/10. The voucher gap is 33.4%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

On the high side, supply constraint reads 8.3/10. Running cool, economic stress reads 2.1/10.

Adults with no health insurance runs 3.8% against 11.3% nationally. SNAP participation runs 8.2% against 15.2% nationally.

On the national scale it lands near the 76th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Only 13% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. Social vulnerability reads 4.1/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 1.7 points cooler. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 06037800103

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06037800103?

Census tract 06037800103 in the Kelly Gulch neighborhood scores 5.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06037800103?

Median gross rent is $3,501/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 73% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06037800103?

8.3% of residents in tract 06037800103 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,416.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06037800103?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 34th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 41th, household 19th, minority 60th, housing 36th.
Q5

Is tract 06037800103 considered part of Kelly Gulch?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06037800103 fall within Kelly Gulch (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 06037800103 struggle to pay rent?

About 8.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 06037800103 compare to Topanga overall?

Tract 06037800103 scores 5.8/10, lower than the parent city of Topanga at 7.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Topanga; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Topanga

Top eight tracts in Topanga ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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