Neighborhood · Ranked #20,506 of 84,120 nationally
Kelly Gulch Eviction Risk: Moderate , Topanga
Tract 06037800103 ·
Los Angeles, CA · pop 3,416 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
Tract 06037800103 sits in the Kelly Gulch area of Topanga, CA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.8/10. It is home to 3,416 residents. Severe burden reaches 73%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Risk score
5.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 9%Stable renters 3%Owners 88%
Tract context
Occupied units1,168
Renter share12.8%
SVI overall0.34
Poverty rate8.3%
Median income$136,856
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In Kelly Gulch
Moderate
Within parent city
100th percentile
#1 of 3 tracts In Topanga
Very High
Within county
8th percentile
#2,288 of 2,495 tracts In Los Angeles
Very Low
Within state
19th percentile
#7,378 of 9,109 tracts In California
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Topanga and the region
Centroid at 34.1189, -118.6018 · click any tract to drill in
Why Kelly Gulch scores 5.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Topanga
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.2
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
8.3% poverty · this tract
2.1
Supply constraint
$3,501 rent vs county FMR
8.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Topanga
8.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Topanga
5.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Topanga
6.4
How Kelly Gulch compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 34
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
41%Socioeconomic
19%Household composition
60%Racial/ethnic minority
36%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
8.3%Housing insecurity
4.2%Utility-shutoff threat
8.7%Food insecurity
8.2%SNAP enrollment
5.5%Transit barriers
3.8%No health insurance
15.2%Frequent mental distress
26.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Kelly Gulch
Against Los Angeles County at 53.8%, 73% of renters here are cost-burdened. Against the Los Angeles County average of 8.4, this tract reads safer for landlords by 2.6 points.
What pushes it up most is rent-regulation exposure at 8.9/10. The voucher gap is 33.4%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.
On the high side, supply constraint reads 8.3/10. Running cool, economic stress reads 2.1/10.
Adults with no health insurance runs 3.8% against 11.3% nationally. SNAP participation runs 8.2% against 15.2% nationally.
On the national scale it lands near the 76th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Only 13% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. Social vulnerability reads 4.1/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 1.7 points cooler. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 06037800103
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06037800103?
Census tract 06037800103 in the Kelly Gulch neighborhood scores 5.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 06037800103?
Median gross rent is $3,501/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 73% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 06037800103?
8.3% of residents in tract 06037800103 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,416.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 06037800103?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 34th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 41th, household 19th, minority 60th, housing 36th.
Q5
Is tract 06037800103 considered part of Kelly Gulch?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06037800103 fall within Kelly Gulch (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 06037800103 struggle to pay rent?
About 8.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 06037800103 compare to Topanga overall?
Tract 06037800103 scores 5.8/10, lower than the parent city of Topanga at 7.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Topanga; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Topanga
Top eight tracts in Topanga ranked by composite eviction-risk score.