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Neighborhood · Topanga, CA

Kelly Gulch Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 3,416 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.8/10 · range 5.8–5.8

Kelly Gulch maps to a single census tract in Topanga, CA, population 3,416. The Eviction Risk Score is 5.8/10, in the Moderate tier. Severe burden reaches 73%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears.

roughly three in four of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, well clear of the Topanga rate of 39.0%. The voucher gap is 33.4%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears.

The dominant input is rent-regulation exposure at 8.9/10. Running hot is supply constraint at 8.3/10.

On the softer side is economic stress, at 2.1/10. 3.8% of adults carry no health insurance against 11.3% nationally, a common route into sudden unpayable debt. Food insecurity affects 8.7% of adults, 9.1 points below the national rate.

At 13% renter-occupied, this is predominantly owner territory, and rental comps have to be drawn from further out. Average gross rent runs $3,501, close to the Topanga average. Annual rent works out to 31% of average household income of $136,856.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 5.8/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
5.8
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Kelly Gulch vs Topanga How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
73.2% +88%
Topanga: 39.0%
Average gross rent
$3,501 +0%
Topanga: $3,501
Average HH income
$136,856 -4%
Topanga: $142,553
Poverty rate
8.3% +24%
Topanga: 6.7%
Renter share
12.8% -29%
Topanga: 18.0%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Kelly Gulch and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 5.8–5.8

Why Kelly Gulch scores 5.8

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts
6.8
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 7.2–7.2 across tracts
7.2
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Rent control risk
73% of income on rent · Range 8.9–8.9 across tracts
8.9
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 6.0–6.0 across tracts
6.0
Tenant organizing strength
13% renter households · Range 5.2–5.2 across tracts
5.2
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 6.4–6.4 across tracts
6.4
Economic stress
8.3% below poverty line · Range 2.1–2.1 across tracts
2.1
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 8.3–8.3 across tracts
8.3
Risk score comparison

Kelly Gulch vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Kelly Gulch score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Kelly Gulch: 5.85.8Kelly GulchNeighborhoodParent city: 7.27.2Parent cityhost cityState: 7.67.6Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Kelly Gulch

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
06037800103 5.8 3,416 73% $3,501
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 34

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 41%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 19%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 60%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 36%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Kelly Gulch

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Kelly Gulch

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Kelly Gulch?

Kelly Gulch scores 5.8/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Kelly Gulch compare to Topanga overall?

Kelly Gulch scores 1.4 points lower than Topanga overall (7.2/10). Renters spend 73% of income on rent vs 39% citywide. Average rent: $3,501 vs $3,501.
Q3

What is the average rent in Kelly Gulch?

Average gross rent in Kelly Gulch is $3,501/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 73% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Kelly Gulch residents are renters?

13% of Kelly Gulch households are renter-occupied (vs 18% in Topanga). The neighborhood has 3,416 residents.
Q5

Is Kelly Gulch a high social-vulnerability area?

Kelly Gulch sits in the 34th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Kelly Gulch for landlords?

Kelly Gulch carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.8/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Topanga as a whole (7.2/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Kelly Gulch?

Kelly Gulch has 3,682 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (63.4%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (16.2%), Hispanic / Latino (14%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
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Other neighborhoods near Kelly Gulch

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