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Neighborhood · Ranked #29,336 of 84,120 nationally

Sycamore Creek Eviction Risk: Moderate , Lake Forest

Tract 06059032030 · Orange, CA · pop 3,445 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

06059032030 is a census tract in the Sycamore Creek area of Mission Viejo, CA. It scores 5.2/10 for landlords. Cost burden runs roughly one in three here against 51.8% across Orange County.

Risk score
5.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 4% Stable renters 9% Owners 87%
Tract context
Occupied units1,225
Renter share13.1%
SVI overall0.16
Poverty rate2.9%
Median income$131,042

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Sycamore Creek
Very Low
Within parent city
5 th percentile
Rank, 5th percentileLowHigh
#20 of 21 tracts In Lake Forest
Very Low
Within county
5 th percentile
Rank, 5th percentileLowHigh
#582 of 613 tracts In Orange
Very Low
Within state
9 th percentile
Rank, 9th percentileLowHigh
#8,324 of 9,109 tracts In California
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Lake Forest and the region

Centroid at 33.6413, -117.6613 · click any tract to drill in

Why Sycamore Creek scores 5.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Lake Forest
5.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.5
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
2.9% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$3,213 rent vs county FMR
6.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lake Forest
8.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lake Forest
5.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lake Forest
5.7

How Sycamore Creek compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Sycamore Creek risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.2This tracttract 0320306.6Lake Forestparent city7.0Countyavg tract in county7.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 16

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Sycamore Creek. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Sycamore Creek

The main counterweight is economic stress at 1/10. Against the Orange County average of 7.0, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.8 points.

Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.2/10. Severe burden reaches 13%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Food insecurity runs 10.0% against 17.8% nationally. At $3,213 a month, rents run 13% over what the rest of Mission Viejo commands.

SNAP participation runs 7.9% against 15.2% nationally. On the national scale it lands near the 65th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Only 13% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 2.5/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 2.3 points cooler.

Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 3%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Annual rent works out to 29% of average household income of $131,042.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 06059032030

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06059032030?

Census tract 06059032030 in the Sycamore Creek neighborhood scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06059032030?

Median gross rent is $3,213/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 32% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06059032030?

2.9% of residents in tract 06059032030 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,445.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06059032030?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 16th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 13th, household 16th, minority 54th, housing 31th.
Q5

Is tract 06059032030 considered part of Sycamore Creek?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06059032030 fall within Sycamore Creek (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 06059032030 struggle to pay rent?

About 9.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 06059032030 compare to Lake Forest overall?

Tract 06059032030 scores 5.2/10, lower than the parent city of Lake Forest at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lake Forest; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Lake Forest

Top eight tracts in Lake Forest ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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