Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #68,306 of 84,120 nationally
Sycamore Creek Eviction Risk: Lower , Lake Forest
Tract 06059032030 · Orange, CA · pop 3,445 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
For landlords sizing up the Sycamore Creek area of Lake Forest, census tract 06059032030 carries a moderate eviction-risk score of 5.2/10. That is riskier than about 47% of US census tracts.
32% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a high level, and 13% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $3,213 a month while the average household earns $131,042 a year, roughly 29% of income at the averages. About 13% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
2.4
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 4%
Stable renters 9%
Owners 87%
Tract context
Occupied units1,225
Renter share13.1%
SVI overall0.16
Poverty rate2.9%
Median income$131,042
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
10
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
4
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
3
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Lake Forest and the region
Centroid at 33.6413, -117.6613 · click any tract to drill in
Why Sycamore Creek scores 2.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Lake Forest
5.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.5
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
2.9% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$3,213 rent vs county FMR
6.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lake Forest
8.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lake Forest
5.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lake Forest
5.7
How Sycamore Creek compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 16
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 13%Socioeconomic
- 16%Household composition
- 54%Racial/ethnic minority
- 31%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Sycamore Creek. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 9.0%Housing insecurity
- 4.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 10.0%Food insecurity
- 7.9%SNAP enrollment
- 5.7%Transit barriers
- 6.3%No health insurance
- 15.2%Frequent mental distress
- 25.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Sycamore Creek
What moves this score most is rent-control risk at 8.2/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Lake Forest, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Orange County average of 5.7 and below the California statewide average of 6.1. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 16th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
In CDC survey modeling, about 9.0% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 4.5% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 06059032030
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06059032030?
Census tract 06059032030 in the Sycamore Creek neighborhood scores 2.4/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 06059032030?
Median gross rent is $3,213/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 32% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 06059032030?
2.9% of residents in tract 06059032030 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,445.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 06059032030?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 16th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 13th, household 16th, minority 54th, housing 31th.
Q5
Is tract 06059032030 considered part of Sycamore Creek?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06059032030 fall within Sycamore Creek (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 06059032030 struggle to pay rent?
About 9.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 06059032030 compare to Lake Forest overall?
Tract 06059032030 scores 2.4/10, lower than the parent city of Lake Forest at 7.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lake Forest; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Lake Forest
Top eight tracts in Lake Forest ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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