Neighborhood · Ranked #49,882 of 84,120 nationally

Sycamore Creek Eviction Risk: Lower , Lake Forest

Tract 06059032029 · Orange, CA · pop 4,080 · neighborhood within 0.0 mi

The Sycamore Creek area of Lake Forest anchors census tract 06059032029, which lands at 5.7/10 on landlord eviction risk. It lands near the 66th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

58% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 32% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $3,045 a month against an average household income of $123,947 a year, roughly 29% of income at the averages. Renters make up 26% of occupied homes.

Risk score

3.5

Lower

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 15% Stable renters 11% Owners 74%

Tract context

Occupied units1,386

Renter share26.3%

SVI overall0.12

Poverty rate5.5%

Median income$123,947

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Lake Forest and the region

Centroid at 33.6447, -117.6650 · click any tract to drill in

Why Sycamore Creek scores 3.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Lake Forest

5.9

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.5

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

5.5% poverty · this tract

1.4

Supply constraint

$3,045 rent vs county FMR

5.5

Rent control risk

Inherited from Lake Forest

7.9

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Lake Forest

6.4

Housing court bias

Inherited from Lake Forest

6.2

How Sycamore Creek compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 12

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

20%Socioeconomic
22%Household composition
62%Racial/ethnic minority
7%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Sycamore Creek. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

10.3%Housing insecurity
5.0%Utility-shutoff threat
10.8%Food insecurity
8.4%SNAP enrollment
6.2%Transit barriers
6.4%No health insurance
16.4%Frequent mental distress
24.0%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Sycamore Creek

What moves this score most is rent-control risk at 7.9/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Lake Forest, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Orange County average of 5.7 and below the California statewide average of 6.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 12th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

In CDC survey modeling, about 10.3% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 5.0% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 06059032029

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06059032029?

Census tract 06059032029 in the Sycamore Creek neighborhood scores 3.5/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06059032029?

Median gross rent is $3,045/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06059032029?

5.5% of residents in tract 06059032029 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,080.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06059032029?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 12th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 20th, household 22th, minority 62th, housing 7th.

Is tract 06059032029 considered part of Sycamore Creek?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06059032029 fall within Sycamore Creek (neighborhood centroid within 0.0 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 06059032029 struggle to pay rent?

About 10.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06059032029 compare to Lake Forest overall?

Tract 06059032029 scores 3.5/10, lower than the parent city of Lake Forest at 7.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lake Forest; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Lake Forest

Top eight tracts in Lake Forest ranked by composite eviction-risk score.