Neighborhood · Ranked #20,506 of 84,120 nationally

Sycamore Creek Eviction Risk: Moderate , Lake Forest

Tract 06059032029 · Orange, CA · pop 4,080 · neighborhood within 0.0 mi

Census tract 06059032029 covers part of the Sycamore Creek area of Lake Forest, CA, and scores 5.8/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 4,080 residents. 32% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score

5.8

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 15% Stable renters 11% Owners 74%

Tract context

Occupied units1,386

Renter share26.3%

SVI overall0.12

Poverty rate5.5%

Median income$123,947

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Lake Forest and the region

Centroid at 33.6447, -117.6650 · click any tract to drill in

Why Sycamore Creek scores 5.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Lake Forest

5.9

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.5

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

5.5% poverty · this tract

1.4

Supply constraint

$3,045 rent vs county FMR

5.5

Rent control risk

Inherited from Lake Forest

7.9

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Lake Forest

6.4

Housing court bias

Inherited from Lake Forest

6.2

How Sycamore Creek compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 12

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

20%Socioeconomic
22%Household composition
62%Racial/ethnic minority
7%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Sycamore Creek. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

10.3%Housing insecurity
5.0%Utility-shutoff threat
10.8%Food insecurity
8.4%SNAP enrollment
6.2%Transit barriers
6.4%No health insurance
16.4%Frequent mental distress
24.0%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Sycamore Creek

The main counterweight is economic stress at 1.4/10. Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.9/10.

Against the Orange County average of 7.0, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.2 points. Against Orange County at 51.8%, 58% of renters here are cost-burdened.

Average gross rent is $3,045, 14% above the Lake Forest average. Food insecurity runs 10.8% against 17.8% nationally.

Nationally it ranks #20,506 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 2.1/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 1.7 points cooler.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 5%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Annual rent works out to 29% of average household income of $123,947.

26% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 06059032029

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06059032029?

Census tract 06059032029 in the Sycamore Creek neighborhood scores 5.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06059032029?

Median gross rent is $3,045/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06059032029?

5.5% of residents in tract 06059032029 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,080.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06059032029?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 12th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 20th, household 22th, minority 62th, housing 7th.

Is tract 06059032029 considered part of Sycamore Creek?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06059032029 fall within Sycamore Creek (neighborhood centroid within 0.0 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 06059032029 struggle to pay rent?

About 10.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06059032029 compare to Lake Forest overall?

Tract 06059032029 scores 5.8/10, lower than the parent city of Lake Forest at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lake Forest; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Lake Forest

Top eight tracts in Lake Forest ranked by composite eviction-risk score.