2 census tracts · pop 7,525 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.5/10
· range 5.2–5.8
Sycamore Creek spans 2 census tracts of Lake Forest, CA, population 7,525. The Eviction Risk Score is 5.5/10, in the Moderate tier. Cost burden runs 46% against 34.1% citywide, putting Sycamore Creek 11.8% over its own city.
Pulling the other way is economic stress, at 1.2/10. The severe-burden share is 23%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay.
Running hot is rent-regulation exposure at 8/10. At $3,122 a month, rents sit 17% over what the rest of Lake Forest commands.
That places it #7 of 9 neighborhoods in Lake Forest. At 20% renter-occupied, this is predominantly owner territory, and rental comps have to be drawn from further out.
For a like-for-like read, Indian Hills and Portola Hills score within a fraction of it. Poverty sits at 4%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.
Its 2 tracts score within 0.6 points of one another, so the area figure travels well to individual addresses. Annual rent works out to 29% of average household income of $127,195.
With little internal variation, 5.5/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.
Risk score
5.5
Moderate
2 tracts · population-weighted
Sycamore Creek vs Lake ForestHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority59%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport18%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Sycamore Creek
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
9.7%Housing insecurity
4.8%Utility shutoff threat
10.4%Food insecurity
8.2%SNAP enrollment
6.4%No health insurance
24.9%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Sycamore Creek
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Sycamore Creek?
Sycamore Creek scores 5.5/10 (Moderate tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Sycamore Creek compare to Lake Forest overall?
Sycamore Creek scores 1.1 points lower than Lake Forest overall (6.6/10). Renters spend 46% of income on rent vs 34% citywide. Average rent: $3,122 vs $2,672.
Q3
What is the average rent in Sycamore Creek?
Average gross rent in Sycamore Creek is $3,122/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Sycamore Creek residents are renters?
20% of Sycamore Creek households are renter-occupied (vs 30% in Lake Forest). The neighborhood has 7,525 residents.
Q5
Is Sycamore Creek a high social-vulnerability area?
Sycamore Creek sits in the 14th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in Sycamore Creek have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in Sycamore Creek is census tract 06059032029 (score 5.8/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 5.2 to 5.8, a spread of 0.6 points.
Q7
How safe is Sycamore Creek for landlords?
Sycamore Creek carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.5/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Lake Forest as a whole (6.6/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of Sycamore Creek?
Sycamore Creek has 7,500 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (57.2%), Hispanic / Latino (26.2%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (11.8%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.