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Neighborhood · Lake Forest, CA

Sycamore Creek Eviction Risk: Moderate

2 census tracts · pop 7,525 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.5/10 · range 5.2–5.8

Sycamore Creek spans 2 census tracts of Lake Forest, CA, population 7,525. The Eviction Risk Score is 5.5/10, in the Moderate tier. Cost burden runs 46% against 34.1% citywide, putting Sycamore Creek 11.8% over its own city.

Pulling the other way is economic stress, at 1.2/10. The severe-burden share is 23%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay.

Running hot is rent-regulation exposure at 8/10. At $3,122 a month, rents sit 17% over what the rest of Lake Forest commands.

That places it #7 of 9 neighborhoods in Lake Forest. At 20% renter-occupied, this is predominantly owner territory, and rental comps have to be drawn from further out.

For a like-for-like read, Indian Hills and Portola Hills score within a fraction of it. Poverty sits at 4%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

Its 2 tracts score within 0.6 points of one another, so the area figure travels well to individual addresses. Annual rent works out to 29% of average household income of $127,195.

With little internal variation, 5.5/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
5.5
Moderate
2 tracts · population-weighted
Sycamore Creek vs Lake Forest How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
45.9% +35%
Lake Forest: 34.1%
Average gross rent
$3,122 +17%
Lake Forest: $2,672
Average HH income
$127,195 -3%
Lake Forest: $131,378
Poverty rate
4.3% -48%
Lake Forest: 8.3%
Renter share
20.3% -31%
Lake Forest: 29.5%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Sycamore Creek and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 5.2–5.8

Why Sycamore Creek scores 5.5

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts
6.8
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 5.9–5.9 across tracts
5.9
Rent control risk
46% of income on rent · Range 7.9–8.2 across tracts
8.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 6.0–6.8 across tracts
6.4
Tenant organizing strength
20% renter households · Range 5.1–6.4 across tracts
5.8
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 5.7–6.2 across tracts
6.0
Economic stress
4.3% below poverty line · Range 1.0–1.4 across tracts
1.2
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 5.5–6.1 across tracts
5.8
Risk score comparison

Sycamore Creek vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Sycamore Creek score vs. parent city, state, U.S.5.5Sycamore CreekNeighborhood6.6Parent cityhost city7.6Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Sycamore Creek

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
06059032029 5.8 4,080 58% $3,045
06059032030 5.2 3,445 32% $3,213
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 14

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 17%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 19%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 59%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 18%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Sycamore Creek

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Sycamore Creek

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Sycamore Creek?

Sycamore Creek scores 5.5/10 (Moderate tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Sycamore Creek compare to Lake Forest overall?

Sycamore Creek scores 1.1 points lower than Lake Forest overall (6.6/10). Renters spend 46% of income on rent vs 34% citywide. Average rent: $3,122 vs $2,672.
Q3

What is the average rent in Sycamore Creek?

Average gross rent in Sycamore Creek is $3,122/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Sycamore Creek residents are renters?

20% of Sycamore Creek households are renter-occupied (vs 30% in Lake Forest). The neighborhood has 7,525 residents.
Q5

Is Sycamore Creek a high social-vulnerability area?

Sycamore Creek sits in the 14th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Sycamore Creek have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Sycamore Creek is census tract 06059032029 (score 5.8/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 5.2 to 5.8, a spread of 0.6 points.
Q7

How safe is Sycamore Creek for landlords?

Sycamore Creek carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.5/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Lake Forest as a whole (6.6/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Sycamore Creek?

Sycamore Creek has 7,500 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (57.2%), Hispanic / Latino (26.2%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (11.8%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Sycamore Creek

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Lake Forest

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Sycamore Creek.

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