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Neighborhood · Ranked #29,336 of 84,120 nationally

Talega Eviction Risk: Moderate , San Clemente

Tract 06059042112 · Orange, CA · pop 7,990 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi

With a score of 5.2/10, tract 06059042112 in the Talega area of San Clemente, CA reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 7,990. The severe-burden share is 58%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
5.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 13% Stable renters 6% Owners 81%
Tract context
Occupied units2,374
Renter share19.3%
SVI overall0.26
Poverty rate2.4%
Median income$194,207

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 4 tracts In Talega
Very Low
Within parent city
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#14 of 14 tracts In San Clemente
Very Low
Within county
7 th percentile
Rank, 7th percentileLowHigh
#571 of 613 tracts In Orange
Very Low
Within state
9 th percentile
Rank, 9th percentileLowHigh
#8,324 of 9,109 tracts In California
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across San Clemente and the region

Centroid at 33.4567, -117.6171 · click any tract to drill in

Why Talega scores 5.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from San Clemente
5.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.5
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
2.4% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$3,501 rent vs county FMR
7.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from San Clemente
7.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from San Clemente
7.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from San Clemente
5.4

How Talega compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Talega risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.2This tracttract 0421126.6San Clementeparent city7.0Countyavg tract in county7.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 26

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Talega. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Talega

At $3,501 a month, rents run 42% over what the rest of San Clemente commands. Cost burden runs around two-thirds here against 51.8% across Orange County. Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1/10.

It sits 1.8 points below the Orange County average of 7.0. The voucher gap is 20.6%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 7.5/10. On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.4/10.

SNAP participation runs 6.3% against 15.2% nationally. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 3.9% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

On the national scale it lands near the 65th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. At 19% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 3.3/10. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 2.3 points cooler.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 06059042112

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06059042112?

Census tract 06059042112 in the Talega neighborhood scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06059042112?

Median gross rent is $3,501/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 66% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06059042112?

2.4% of residents in tract 06059042112 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,990.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06059042112?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 26th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 16th, household 73th, minority 49th, housing 19th.
Q5

Is tract 06059042112 considered part of Talega?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06059042112 fall within Talega (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 06059042112 struggle to pay rent?

About 7.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 06059042112 compare to San Clemente overall?

Tract 06059042112 scores 5.2/10, lower than the parent city of San Clemente at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from San Clemente; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in San Clemente

Top eight tracts in San Clemente ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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