Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #17,132 of 84,120 nationally
South Cove Eviction Risk: Elevated , Dana Point
Tract 06059042201 · Orange, CA · pop 5,813 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi
06059042201 is a census tract in the South Cove area of Dana Point, CA. It scores 6.2/10 for landlords. The main counterweight is economic stress at 1/10.
Risk score
6.2
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 16%
Stable renters 23%
Owners 61%
Tract context
Occupied units2,321
Renter share39.6%
SVI overall0.55
Poverty rate3.4%
Median income$110,670
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
31
th percentile
Low
Within state
26
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Dana Point and the region
Centroid at 33.4609, -117.6673 · click any tract to drill in
Why South Cove scores 6.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Dana Point
5.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.5
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
3.4% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,671 rent vs county FMR
4.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Dana Point
7.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Dana Point
7.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Dana Point
5.9
How South Cove compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 55
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 35%Socioeconomic
- 59%Household composition
- 48%Racial/ethnic minority
- 76%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within South Cove. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 8.8%Housing insecurity
- 4.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 9.5%Food insecurity
- 8.0%SNAP enrollment
- 5.7%Transit barriers
- 6.3%No health insurance
- 15.4%Frequent mental distress
- 27.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in South Cove
The severe-burden share is 23%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. 42% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well below the Orange County average of 51.8%. Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 7.8/10.
On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.6/10. Food insecurity runs 9.5% against 17.8% nationally. At $2,671 a month, rents run 14% under what the rest of Dana Point commands.
It sits 0.8 points below the Orange County average of 7.0. SNAP participation runs 8.0% against 15.2% nationally.
On the national scale it lands near the 80th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 5.9/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 1.3 points cooler.
Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 06059042201
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06059042201?
Census tract 06059042201 in the South Cove neighborhood scores 6.2/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 06059042201?
Median gross rent is $2,671/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 42% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 06059042201?
3.4% of residents in tract 06059042201 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,813.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 06059042201?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 55th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 35th, household 59th, minority 48th, housing 76th.
Q5
Is tract 06059042201 considered part of South Cove?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06059042201 fall within South Cove (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 06059042201 struggle to pay rent?
About 8.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 06059042201 compare to Dana Point overall?
Tract 06059042201 scores 6.2/10, lower than the parent city of Dana Point at 6.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Dana Point; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Dana Point
Top eight tracts in Dana Point ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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