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Neighborhood · Ranked #48,083 of 84,120 nationally

South Cove Eviction Risk: Lower , Dana Point

Tract 06059042201 · Orange, CA · pop 5,813 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi

Tract 06059042201 covers the South Cove neighborhood of Dana Point in California. Home to 5,813 residents, it scores 5.4/10 on landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than roughly 55% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 42% of renter households, a severe level, and 23% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $2,671 a month against an average household income of $110,670 a year, roughly 29% of income at the averages. Renters make up 40% of occupied homes.

Risk score
3.6
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 16% Stable renters 23% Owners 61%
Tract context
Occupied units2,321
Renter share39.6%
SVI overall0.55
Poverty rate3.4%
Median income$110,670

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In South Cove
Very High
Within parent city
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 7 tracts In Dana Point
Moderate
Within county
30 th percentile
Rank, 30th percentileLowHigh
#432 of 613 tracts In Orange
Low
Within state
16 th percentile
Rank, 16th percentileLowHigh
#7,640 of 9,109 tracts In California
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Dana Point and the region

Centroid at 33.4609, -117.6673 · click any tract to drill in

Why South Cove scores 3.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Dana Point
5.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.5
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
3.4% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,671 rent vs county FMR
4.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Dana Point
7.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Dana Point
7.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Dana Point
5.9

How South Cove compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
South Cove risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.63.6This tracttract 042201Dana Point: 7.87.8Dana Pointparent cityCounty: 4.64.6Countyavg tract in countyState: 5.65.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 55

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within South Cove. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in South Cove

What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 7.8/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Dana Point, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Orange County average of 5.7 and below the California statewide average of 6.1. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 55th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

In CDC survey modeling, about 8.8% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 4.5% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 06059042201

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06059042201?

Census tract 06059042201 in the South Cove neighborhood scores 3.6/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06059042201?

Median gross rent is $2,671/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 42% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06059042201?

3.4% of residents in tract 06059042201 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,813.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06059042201?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 55th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 35th, household 59th, minority 48th, housing 76th.
Q5

Is tract 06059042201 considered part of South Cove?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06059042201 fall within South Cove (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 06059042201 struggle to pay rent?

About 8.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 06059042201 compare to Dana Point overall?

Tract 06059042201 scores 3.6/10, lower than the parent city of Dana Point at 7.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Dana Point; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Dana Point

Top eight tracts in Dana Point ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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