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Neighborhood · Dana Point, CA

South Cove Eviction Risk: Elevated

2 census tracts · pop 11,805 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 6.1/10 · range 6–6.2

South Cove spans 2 census tracts of Dana Point, CA, population 11,805. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 6.1/10, in the Elevated tier. 47% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, well above the Dana Point rate of 32.3%.

Pulling the other way is economic stress, at 1.3/10. Severe burden reaches 24%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. On the high side is tenant-organizing strength at 7.8/10.

Running hot is rent-regulation exposure at 7.6/10. At $2,706 a month, rents sit 13% under what the rest of Dana Point commands.

Food insecurity affects 9.5% of adults, 8.3 points below the national rate. Poverty sits at 5%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

The 2 tracts here are tightly clustered, 0.2 points apart at the extremes. Annual rent works out to 27% of average household income of $119,301.

29% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

The area figure travels well to individual addresses here, though the per-tract table below still carries the detail. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
6.1
Elevated
2 tracts · population-weighted
South Cove vs Dana Point How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
46.6% +44%
Dana Point: 32.3%
Average gross rent
$2,706 -13%
Dana Point: $3,106
Average HH income
$119,301 -6%
Dana Point: $127,246
Poverty rate
4.7% -38%
Dana Point: 7.6%
Renter share
28.8% -23%
Dana Point: 37.6%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across South Cove and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 6–6.2

Why South Cove scores 6.1

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts
6.8
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 5.9–5.9 across tracts
5.9
Rent control risk
47% of income on rent · Range 7.6–7.6 across tracts
7.6
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 6.1–6.1 across tracts
6.1
Tenant organizing strength
29% renter households · Range 7.8–7.8 across tracts
7.8
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 5.9–5.9 across tracts
5.9
Economic stress
4.7% below poverty line · Range 1.0–1.5 across tracts
1.3
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 4.2–4.4 across tracts
4.3
Risk score comparison

South Cove vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

South Cove score vs. parent city, state, U.S.6.1South CoveNeighborhood6.9Parent cityhost city7.6Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in South Cove

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
06059042201 6.2 5,813 42% $2,671
06059042341 6 5,992 51% $2,740
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 42

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 39%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 34%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 48%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 58%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in South Cove

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About South Cove

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for South Cove?

South Cove scores 6.1/10 (Elevated tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does South Cove compare to Dana Point overall?

South Cove scores 0.8 points lower than Dana Point overall (6.9/10). Renters spend 47% of income on rent vs 32% citywide. Average rent: $2,706 vs $3,106.
Q3

What is the average rent in South Cove?

Average gross rent in South Cove is $2,706/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of South Cove residents are renters?

29% of South Cove households are renter-occupied (vs 38% in Dana Point). The neighborhood has 11,805 residents.
Q5

Is South Cove a high social-vulnerability area?

South Cove sits in the 42nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in South Cove have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in South Cove is census tract 06059042201 (score 6.2/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 6 to 6.2, a spread of 0.2 points.
Q7

How safe is South Cove for landlords?

South Cove carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (6.1/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Dana Point as a whole (6.9/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of South Cove?

South Cove has 11,594 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (69.8%), Hispanic / Latino (21.6%), Other / Multiracial (5.3%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near South Cove

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Dana Point

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to South Cove.

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