Neighborhood · Dana Point, CA

South Cove Eviction Risk: Lower

2 census tracts · pop 11,805 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.5/10 · range 3.5–3.6

South Cove is a white (non-hispanic) neighborhood in Dana Point with 2 census tracts and a population of 11,805 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 3.5/10 (Lower tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 47% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 24% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $2,706/month sits 13% lower than the Dana Point citywide average ($3,106).

Risk score

3.5

Lower

2 tracts · population-weighted

South Cove vs Dana Point How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

46.6% +44%

Dana Point: 32.3%

Average gross rent

$2,706 -13%

Dana Point: $3,106

Average HH income

$119,301 -6%

Dana Point: $127,246

Poverty rate

4.7% -38%

Dana Point: 7.6%

Renter share

28.8% -23%

Dana Point: 37.6%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across South Cove and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 3.5–3.6

Why South Cove scores 3.5

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts

6.8

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts

5.5

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 5.9–5.9 across tracts

5.9

Rent control risk

47% of income on rent · Range 7.6–7.6 across tracts

7.6

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 6.1–6.1 across tracts

6.1

Tenant organizing strength

29% renter households · Range 7.8–7.8 across tracts

7.8

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 5.9–5.9 across tracts

5.9

Economic stress

4.7% below poverty line · Range 1.0–1.5 across tracts

1.3

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 4.2–4.4 across tracts

4.3

Risk score comparison

South Cove vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Census tracts

2 tracts in South Cove

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
06059042201	3.6	5,813	42%	$2,671
06059042341	3.5	5,992	51%	$2,740

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 42

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 39%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 34%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 48%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 58%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in South Cove

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

9.0%Housing insecurity
4.6%Utility shutoff threat
9.5%Food insecurity
7.9%SNAP enrollment
6.3%No health insurance
27.2%Any disability

Frequently asked

About South Cove

What is the eviction-risk score for South Cove?

South Cove scores 3.5/10 (Lower tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does South Cove compare to Dana Point overall?

South Cove scores 4.3 points lower than Dana Point overall (7.8/10). Renters spend 47% of income on rent vs 32% citywide. Average rent: $2,706 vs $3,106.

What is the average rent in South Cove?

Average gross rent in South Cove is $2,706/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of South Cove residents are renters?

29% of South Cove households are renter-occupied (vs 38% in Dana Point). The neighborhood has 11,805 residents.

Is South Cove a high social-vulnerability area?

South Cove sits in the 42nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

Which tracts in South Cove have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in South Cove is census tract 06059042201 (score 3.6/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3.5 to 3.6, a spread of 0.1 points.

How safe is South Cove for landlords?

South Cove carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.5/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Dana Point as a whole (7.8/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of South Cove?

South Cove has 11,594 residents (White (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (69.8%), Hispanic / Latino (21.6%), Other / Multiracial (5.3%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near South Cove

3.7 Niguel Shores 4 tracts · pop 17,993 3 Flora Vista 2 tracts · pop 11,265 3.2 El Niguel Heights 6 tracts · pop 28,261 3.9 Sea Summit 3 tracts · pop 10,992 2.8 Talega 4 tracts · pop 24,535 2.9 Niguel Summit 4 tracts · pop 15,654

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Dana Point

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to South Cove.

3.6 Niguel Shores 4 tracts · pop 17,993

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