Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #18,163 of 84,120 nationally
South Cove Eviction Risk: Elevated , Dana Point
Tract 06059042341 · Orange, CA · pop 5,992 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi
Census tract 06059042341 covers part of the South Cove area of Dana Point, CA, and scores 6/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 5,992. The severe-burden share is 24%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
6
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 9%
Stable renters 9%
Owners 82%
Tract context
Occupied units2,399
Renter share18.3%
SVI overall0.30
Poverty rate5.9%
Median income$127,674
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
17
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
27
th percentile
Low
Within state
23
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Dana Point and the region
Centroid at 33.4817, -117.6781 · click any tract to drill in
Why South Cove scores 6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Dana Point
5.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.5
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
5.9% poverty · this tract
1.5
Supply constraint
$2,740 rent vs county FMR
4.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Dana Point
7.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Dana Point
7.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Dana Point
5.9
How South Cove compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 30
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 42%Socioeconomic
- 10%Household composition
- 47%Racial/ethnic minority
- 40%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within South Cove. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 9.1%Housing insecurity
- 4.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 9.5%Food insecurity
- 7.8%SNAP enrollment
- 5.8%Transit barriers
- 6.2%No health insurance
- 15.9%Frequent mental distress
- 26.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in South Cove
Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1.5/10. Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 7.8/10.
On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.6/10. It sits 1.0 points below the Orange County average of 7.0.
Food insecurity runs 9.5% against 17.8% nationally. SNAP participation runs 7.8% against 15.2% nationally.
Average gross rent is $2,740, 12% below the Dana Point average. That is riskier than roughly 78% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. At 18% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.
Social vulnerability reads 3.7/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 1.5 points cooler. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.
Poverty sits at 6%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 06059042341
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06059042341?
Census tract 06059042341 in the South Cove neighborhood scores 6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 06059042341?
Median gross rent is $2,740/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 06059042341?
5.9% of residents in tract 06059042341 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,992.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 06059042341?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 30th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 42th, household 10th, minority 47th, housing 40th.
Q5
Is tract 06059042341 considered part of South Cove?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06059042341 fall within South Cove (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 06059042341 struggle to pay rent?
About 9.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 06059042341 compare to Dana Point overall?
Tract 06059042341 scores 6/10, lower than the parent city of Dana Point at 6.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Dana Point; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Dana Point
Top eight tracts in Dana Point ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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