Neighborhood · Ranked #17,650 of 84,120 nationally
Bay Cliff Village Eviction Risk: Elevated , San Clemente
Tract 06059042206 ·
Orange, CA · pop 3,536 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
Census tract 06059042206 covers part of the Bay Cliff Village area of San Clemente, CA, and scores 6.1/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 3,536. Severe burden reaches 66%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Risk score
6.1
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 28%Stable renters 10%Owners 62%
Tract context
Occupied units1,646
Renter share38.5%
SVI overall0.45
Poverty rate3.4%
Median income$101,389
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In Bay Cliff Village
Moderate
Within parent city
77th percentile
#4 of 14 tracts In San Clemente
High
Within county
28th percentile
#443 of 613 tracts In Orange
Low
Within state
24th percentile
#6,893 of 9,109 tracts In California
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across San Clemente and the region
Centroid at 33.4516, -117.6513 · click any tract to drill in
Why Bay Cliff Village scores 6.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from San Clemente
5.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.5
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
3.4% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,454 rent vs county FMR
3.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from San Clemente
7.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from San Clemente
7.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from San Clemente
5.4
How Bay Cliff Village compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 45
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
26%Socioeconomic
42%Household composition
39%Racial/ethnic minority
76%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
7.0%Housing insecurity
3.9%Utility-shutoff threat
7.9%Food insecurity
7.0%SNAP enrollment
4.9%Transit barriers
4.7%No health insurance
14.4%Frequent mental distress
28.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Bay Cliff Village
Against Orange County at 51.8%, 73% of renters here are cost-burdened. The clearest offset is economic stress at 1/10. On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 7.5/10.
Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.4/10. Against the Orange County average of 7.0, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.9 points. SNAP participation runs 7.0% against 15.2% nationally.
Housing insecurity runs 7.0% against 14.2% nationally. Nationally it ranks #17,650 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 5/10. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 1.4 points cooler. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.
Poverty sits at 3%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Average gross rent is $2,454, close to the San Clemente average.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 06059042206
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06059042206?
Census tract 06059042206 in the Bay Cliff Village neighborhood scores 6.1/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 06059042206?
Median gross rent is $2,454/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 73% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 06059042206?
3.4% of residents in tract 06059042206 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,536.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 06059042206?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 45th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 26th, household 42th, minority 39th, housing 76th.
Q5
Is tract 06059042206 considered part of Bay Cliff Village?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06059042206 fall within Bay Cliff Village (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 06059042206 struggle to pay rent?
About 7.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 06059042206 compare to San Clemente overall?
Tract 06059042206 scores 6.1/10, lower than the parent city of San Clemente at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from San Clemente; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in San Clemente
Top eight tracts in San Clemente ranked by composite eviction-risk score.