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Neighborhood · Ranked #41,065 of 84,120 nationally

El Niguel Heights Eviction Risk: Moderate , Laguna Niguel

Tract 06059042329 · Orange, CA · pop 3,714 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi

Here is how census tract 06059042329, in the El Niguel Heights area of Laguna Niguel, looks to a landlord: a $1/10 eviction-risk score (Elevated tier) across a population of 3,714. That is riskier than about 76% of US census tracts.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 80% of renter households, a severe level, and 56% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $2,949 monthly, set against $102,436 in average yearly household income, roughly 35% of income at the averages. Renters make up 20% of occupied homes.

Risk score
4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 16% Stable renters 4% Owners 80%
Tract context
Occupied units1,412
Renter share20.1%
SVI overall0.32
Poverty rate13.1%
Median income$102,436

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 6 tracts In El Niguel Heights
Very High
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 14 tracts In Laguna Niguel
Very High
Within county
39 th percentile
Rank, 39th percentileLowHigh
#376 of 613 tracts In Orange
Low
Within state
23 th percentile
Rank, 23rd percentileLowHigh
#7,017 of 9,109 tracts In California
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Laguna Niguel and the region

Centroid at 33.5316, -117.6978 · click any tract to drill in

Why El Niguel Heights scores 4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Laguna Niguel
5.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.5
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
13.1% poverty · this tract
3.3
Supply constraint
$2,949 rent vs county FMR
5.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Laguna Niguel
8.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Laguna Niguel
7.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Laguna Niguel
5.9

How El Niguel Heights compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
El Niguel Heights risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.04.0This tracttract 042329Laguna Niguel: 7.87.8Laguna Niguelparent cityCounty: 4.64.6Countyavg tract in countyState: 5.65.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 32

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within El Niguel Heights. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in El Niguel Heights

What moves this score most is rent-control risk at 8.2/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Laguna Niguel, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Orange County average of 5.7 and in line with the California statewide average of 6.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 8.6% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 4.9% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 32nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 06059042329

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06059042329?

Census tract 06059042329 in the El Niguel Heights neighborhood scores 4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06059042329?

Median gross rent is $2,949/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 80% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06059042329?

13.1% of residents in tract 06059042329 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,714.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06059042329?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 32th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 34th, household 15th, minority 41th, housing 51th.
Q5

Is tract 06059042329 considered part of El Niguel Heights?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06059042329 fall within El Niguel Heights (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 06059042329 struggle to pay rent?

About 8.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 06059042329 compare to Laguna Niguel overall?

Tract 06059042329 scores 4/10, lower than the parent city of Laguna Niguel at 7.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Laguna Niguel; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Laguna Niguel

Top eight tracts in Laguna Niguel ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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