Neighborhood · Ranked #10,727 of 84,120 nationally

El Niguel Heights Eviction Risk: Elevated , Laguna Niguel

Tract 06059042329 · Orange, CA · pop 3,714 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi

06059042329 is a census tract in the El Niguel Heights area of Laguna Niguel, CA. It scores 7.4/10 for landlords. Population here is 3,714. The severe-burden share is 56%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score

7.4

Elevated

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 16% Stable renters 4% Owners 80%

Tract context

Occupied units1,412

Renter share20.1%

SVI overall0.32

Poverty rate13.1%

Median income$102,436

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Laguna Niguel and the region

Centroid at 33.5316, -117.6978 · click any tract to drill in

Why El Niguel Heights scores 7.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Laguna Niguel

5.9

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.5

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

13.1% poverty · this tract

3.3

Supply constraint

$2,949 rent vs county FMR

5.2

Rent control risk

Inherited from Laguna Niguel

8.2

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.6

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Laguna Niguel

7.1

Housing court bias

Inherited from Laguna Niguel

5.9

How El Niguel Heights compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 32

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

34%Socioeconomic
15%Household composition
41%Racial/ethnic minority
51%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within El Niguel Heights. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

8.6%Housing insecurity
4.9%Utility-shutoff threat
10.3%Food insecurity
9.7%SNAP enrollment
6.1%Transit barriers
5.1%No health insurance
16.0%Frequent mental distress
28.7%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in El Niguel Heights

Cost burden runs 80% here against 51.8% across Orange County. Annualized rent equals 35% of average household income of $102,436, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.

What pushes it up most is rent-regulation exposure at 8.2/10. On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 7.1/10. Food insecurity runs 10.3% against 17.8% nationally.

On the national scale it lands near the 87th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. At 20% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. Statute speed, court posture and rent-regulation exposure are inherited from Laguna Niguel rather than measured on these blocks; the economic and supply components are the tract-level part of the score.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 3.8/10. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.

It tracks the Orange County average of 7.0 closely. Average gross rent is $2,949, close to the Laguna Niguel average.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 06059042329

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06059042329?

Census tract 06059042329 in the El Niguel Heights neighborhood scores 7.4/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06059042329?

Median gross rent is $2,949/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 80% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06059042329?

13.1% of residents in tract 06059042329 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,714.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06059042329?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 32th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 34th, household 15th, minority 41th, housing 51th.

Is tract 06059042329 considered part of El Niguel Heights?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06059042329 fall within El Niguel Heights (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 06059042329 struggle to pay rent?

About 8.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06059042329 compare to Laguna Niguel overall?

Tract 06059042329 scores 7.4/10, higher than the parent city of Laguna Niguel at 6.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Laguna Niguel; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Laguna Niguel

Top eight tracts in Laguna Niguel ranked by composite eviction-risk score.