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Neighborhood · Ranked #16,571 of 84,120 nationally

Lemon Heights Eviction Risk: Elevated , North Tustin

Tract 06059052419 · Orange, CA · pop 3,252 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi

With a score of 6.3/10, tract 06059052419 in the Lemon Heights area of Tustin, CA reads elevated for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 3,252. Average gross rent is $3,501, 43% above the Tustin average.

Risk score
6.3
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 8% Stable renters 6% Owners 86%
Tract context
Occupied units1,123
Renter share14.2%
SVI overall0.07
Poverty rate3.0%
Median income$183,365

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Lemon Heights
Very High
Within parent city
7 th percentile
Rank, 7th percentileLowHigh
#15 of 16 tracts In North Tustin
Very Low
Within county
34 th percentile
Rank, 34th percentileLowHigh
#407 of 613 tracts In Orange
Low
Within state
28 th percentile
Rank, 28th percentileLowHigh
#6,559 of 9,109 tracts In California
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across North Tustin and the region

Centroid at 33.7636, -117.7650 · click any tract to drill in

Why Lemon Heights scores 6.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from North Tustin
5.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.5
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
3.0% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$3,501 rent vs county FMR
7.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from North Tustin
8.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from North Tustin
9.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from North Tustin
6.8

How Lemon Heights compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Lemon Heights risk score vs. parent city / county / state6.3This tracttract 0524194.8North Tustinparent city7.0Countyavg tract in county7.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 7

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Lemon Heights. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Lemon Heights

30% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. What pushes it up most is tenant-organizing strength at 9.1/10. On the softer side, economic stress reads 1/10.

Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.2/10. Disability prevalence runs 18.4% against 31.5% nationally. The voucher gap is 20.6%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

SNAP participation runs 4.6% against 15.2% nationally. 58% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, above the Orange County average of 51.8%. It sits 0.7 points below the Orange County average of 7.0.

That is riskier than roughly 80% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. At 14% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.

Social vulnerability reads 1.7/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 1.2 points cooler.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 06059052419

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06059052419?

Census tract 06059052419 in the Lemon Heights neighborhood scores 6.3/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06059052419?

Median gross rent is $3,501/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06059052419?

3.0% of residents in tract 06059052419 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,252.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06059052419?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 7th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 3th, household 28th, minority 75th, housing 9th.
Q5

Is tract 06059052419 considered part of Lemon Heights?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06059052419 fall within Lemon Heights (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 06059052419 struggle to pay rent?

About 6.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 06059052419 compare to North Tustin overall?

Tract 06059052419 scores 6.3/10, higher than the parent city of North Tustin at 4.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from North Tustin; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in North Tustin

Top eight tracts in North Tustin ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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