Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #37,643 of 84,120 nationally
Grandview Crest Eviction Risk: Moderate , Lake Forest
Tract 06059052424 · Orange, CA · pop 5,085 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
Census tract 06059052424 covers Grandview Crest in Lake Forest, home to 5,085 residents. For landlords it grades 4.2/10, a moderate reading. It lands near the 70th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
About 57% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 30% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $2,489 a month against an average household income of $108,681 a year, roughly 27% of income at the averages. About 29% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
4.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 17%
Stable renters 12%
Owners 71%
Tract context
Occupied units1,974
Renter share29.1%
SVI overall0.61
Poverty rate11.4%
Median income$108,681
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
85
th percentile
High
Within county
42
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
26
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Lake Forest and the region
Centroid at 33.6444, -117.6761 · click any tract to drill in
Why Grandview Crest scores 4.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Lake Forest
5.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.5
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
11.4% poverty · this tract
2.9
Supply constraint
$2,489 rent vs county FMR
3.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lake Forest
7.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lake Forest
6.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lake Forest
6.2
How Grandview Crest compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 61
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 55%Socioeconomic
- 68%Household composition
- 64%Racial/ethnic minority
- 51%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 11.9%Housing insecurity
- 6.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 13.1%Food insecurity
- 11.2%SNAP enrollment
- 7.3%Transit barriers
- 7.1%No health insurance
- 17.2%Frequent mental distress
- 26.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Grandview Crest
What moves this score most is rent-control risk at 7.9/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Lake Forest, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Orange County average of 5.7 and in line with the California statewide average of 6.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is White and Asian and ranks around the 61st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
In CDC survey modeling, about 11.9% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 6.2% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 06059052424
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06059052424?
Census tract 06059052424 in the Grandview Crest neighborhood scores 4.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 06059052424?
Median gross rent is $2,489/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 06059052424?
11.4% of residents in tract 06059052424 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,085.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 06059052424?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 61th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 55th, household 68th, minority 64th, housing 51th.
Q5
Is tract 06059052424 considered part of Grandview Crest?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06059052424 fall within Grandview Crest (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 06059052424 struggle to pay rent?
About 11.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 06059052424 compare to Lake Forest overall?
Tract 06059052424 scores 4.2/10, lower than the parent city of Lake Forest at 7.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lake Forest; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Lake Forest
Top eight tracts in Lake Forest ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · CA
Acacia Knolls
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · CA
Upper Greenridge
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · CA
Lower Heatherview
4.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · CA
Woodside
3.7
/ 10 · Low
Tract · CA
Lake Park West
3.7
/ 10 · Low
Tract · CA
Lake Park West
3.6
/ 10 · Low
Tract · CA
Sycamore Creek
3.5
/ 10 · Low
Tract · CA
Park Place Ranchwood
3.4
/ 10 · Low
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