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Neighborhood · Ranked #56,660 of 84,120 nationally

Foothill Ranch Eviction Risk: Lower , Lake Forest

Tract 06059052427 · Orange, CA · pop 5,478 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi

Census tract 06059052427 belongs to the Foothill Ranch area of Lake Forest, California. It is home to 5,478 residents and scores 5.6/10, a moderate reading for landlords. It lands near the 62nd percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 50% of renter households, a severe level, and 16% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $2,838 monthly, set against $184,026 in average yearly household income, roughly 19% of income at the averages. Renters make up 18% of occupied homes.

Risk score
3.1
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 9% Stable renters 9% Owners 82%
Tract context
Occupied units1,760
Renter share18.0%
SVI overall0.04
Poverty rate2.4%
Median income$184,026

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Foothill Ranch
Moderate
Within parent city
8 th percentile
Rank, 8th percentileLowHigh
#13 of 14 tracts In Lake Forest
Very Low
Within county
16 th percentile
Rank, 16th percentileLowHigh
#516 of 613 tracts In Orange
Very Low
Within state
9 th percentile
Rank, 9th percentileLowHigh
#8,303 of 9,109 tracts In California
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Lake Forest and the region

Centroid at 33.6829, -117.6498 · click any tract to drill in

Why Foothill Ranch scores 3.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Lake Forest
5.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.5
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
2.4% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,838 rent vs county FMR
4.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lake Forest
7.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lake Forest
6.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lake Forest
6.2

How Foothill Ranch compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Foothill Ranch risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.13.1This tracttract 052427Lake Forest: 7.67.6Lake Forestparent cityCounty: 4.64.6Countyavg tract in countyState: 5.65.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 4

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Foothill Ranch

What moves this score most is rent-control risk at 7.9/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Lake Forest, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Orange County average of 5.7 and below the California statewide average of 6.1. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 7.8% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 3.9% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is White and Asian and ranks around the 4th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 06059052427

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06059052427?

Census tract 06059052427 in the Foothill Ranch neighborhood scores 3.1/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06059052427?

Median gross rent is $2,838/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06059052427?

2.4% of residents in tract 06059052427 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,478.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06059052427?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 4th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 3th, household 8th, minority 67th, housing 8th.
Q5

Is tract 06059052427 considered part of Foothill Ranch?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06059052427 fall within Foothill Ranch (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 06059052427 struggle to pay rent?

About 7.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 06059052427 compare to Lake Forest overall?

Tract 06059052427 scores 3.1/10, lower than the parent city of Lake Forest at 7.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lake Forest; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Lake Forest

Top eight tracts in Lake Forest ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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