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Neighborhood · Ranked #29,336 of 84,120 nationally

Foothill Ranch Eviction Risk: Moderate , Lake Forest

Tract 06059052427 · Orange, CA · pop 5,478 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi

Census tract 06059052427 covers part of the Foothill Ranch area of Lake Forest, CA, and scores 5.2/10 on landlord eviction risk. The main counterweight is economic stress at 1/10.

Risk score
5.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 9% Stable renters 9% Owners 82%
Tract context
Occupied units1,760
Renter share18.0%
SVI overall0.04
Poverty rate2.4%
Median income$184,026

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Foothill Ranch
Moderate
Within parent city
8 th percentile
Rank, 8th percentileLowHigh
#13 of 14 tracts In Lake Forest
Very Low
Within county
6 th percentile
Rank, 6th percentileLowHigh
#574 of 613 tracts In Orange
Very Low
Within state
9 th percentile
Rank, 9th percentileLowHigh
#8,324 of 9,109 tracts In California
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Lake Forest and the region

Centroid at 33.6829, -117.6498 · click any tract to drill in

Why Foothill Ranch scores 5.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Lake Forest
5.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.5
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
2.4% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,838 rent vs county FMR
4.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lake Forest
7.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lake Forest
6.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lake Forest
6.2

How Foothill Ranch compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Foothill Ranch risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.2This tracttract 0524276.6Lake Forestparent city7.0Countyavg tract in county7.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 4

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Foothill Ranch

It sits 1.8 points below the Orange County average of 7.0. Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.9/10.

16% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Adults with no health insurance runs 4.0% against 11.3% nationally.

Inability to pay a utility bill runs 3.9% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. That is riskier than roughly 65% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Only 18% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 1.3/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 2.3 points cooler. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured.

Poverty sits at 2%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Rent takes 30% or more of income for 50% of renters. Average gross rent is $2,838, close to the Lake Forest average.

Annual rent works out to 19% of average household income of $184,026.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 06059052427

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06059052427?

Census tract 06059052427 in the Foothill Ranch neighborhood scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06059052427?

Median gross rent is $2,838/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06059052427?

2.4% of residents in tract 06059052427 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,478.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06059052427?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 4th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 3th, household 8th, minority 67th, housing 8th.
Q5

Is tract 06059052427 considered part of Foothill Ranch?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06059052427 fall within Foothill Ranch (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 06059052427 struggle to pay rent?

About 7.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 06059052427 compare to Lake Forest overall?

Tract 06059052427 scores 5.2/10, lower than the parent city of Lake Forest at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lake Forest; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Lake Forest

Top eight tracts in Lake Forest ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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