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Neighborhood · Lake Forest, CA

Foothill Ranch Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 5,478 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.2/10 · range 5.2–5.2

Foothill Ranch is a one-tract suburb of Lake Forest, CA, population 5,478. The Eviction Risk Score is 5.2/10, in the Moderate tier. Cost burden runs 50% against 34.1% citywide, putting Foothill Ranch 16.1% over its own city.

The main counterweight is economic stress, at 1/10. On the high side is rent-regulation exposure at 7.9/10. Severe burden reaches 16%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears.

3.9% of adults report being unable to pay a utility bill, below a 9.2% national figure. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Food insecurity affects 8.2% of adults, 9.6 points below the national rate.

Average gross rent is $2,838, 6% above the Lake Forest average of $2,672. Among the 9 mapped neighborhoods of Lake Forest, it ranks #9 by risk, the lower third.

Only 18% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin here; price renewals off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. Rent takes 19% of average household income, comfortably inside the 30% line and unusually low for a rental sub-market. Poverty sits at 2%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 5.2/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
5.2
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Foothill Ranch vs Lake Forest How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
50.2% +47%
Lake Forest: 34.1%
Average gross rent
$2,838 +6%
Lake Forest: $2,672
Average HH income
$184,026 +40%
Lake Forest: $131,378
Poverty rate
2.4% -71%
Lake Forest: 8.3%
Renter share
18.0% -39%
Lake Forest: 29.5%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Foothill Ranch and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 5.2–5.2

Why Foothill Ranch scores 5.2

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts
6.8
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 5.9–5.9 across tracts
5.9
Rent control risk
50% of income on rent · Range 7.9–7.9 across tracts
7.9
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 6.0–6.0 across tracts
6.0
Tenant organizing strength
18% renter households · Range 6.4–6.4 across tracts
6.4
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 6.2–6.2 across tracts
6.2
Economic stress
2.4% below poverty line · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 4.8–4.8 across tracts
4.8
Risk score comparison

Foothill Ranch vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Foothill Ranch score vs. parent city, state, U.S.5.2Foothill RanchNeighborhood6.6Parent cityhost city7.6Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Foothill Ranch

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
06059052427 5.2 5,478 50% $2,838
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 4

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 3%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 8%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 67%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 8%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Foothill Ranch

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Foothill Ranch

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Foothill Ranch?

Foothill Ranch scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Foothill Ranch compare to Lake Forest overall?

Foothill Ranch scores 1.4 points lower than Lake Forest overall (6.6/10). Renters spend 50% of income on rent vs 34% citywide. Average rent: $2,838 vs $2,672.
Q3

What is the average rent in Foothill Ranch?

Average gross rent in Foothill Ranch is $2,838/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Foothill Ranch residents are renters?

18% of Foothill Ranch households are renter-occupied (vs 30% in Lake Forest). The neighborhood has 5,478 residents.
Q5

Is Foothill Ranch a high social-vulnerability area?

Foothill Ranch sits in the 4th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Foothill Ranch for landlords?

Foothill Ranch carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.2/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Lake Forest as a whole (6.6/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Foothill Ranch?

Foothill Ranch has 5,424 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (46.1%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (28.1%), Hispanic / Latino (15.3%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Foothill Ranch

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Lake Forest

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Foothill Ranch.

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