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Neighborhood · Ranked #29,578 of 84,120 nationally

Mesa Verde Eviction Risk: Moderate , Costa Mesa

Tract 06059063803 · Orange, CA · pop 4,507 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi

Census tract 06059063803 covers Mesa Verde in Costa Mesa, home to 4,507 residents. For landlords it grades 5.8/10, a moderate reading. That is riskier than roughly 70% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 46% of renter households, a severe level, and 21% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $2,643 a month against an average household income of $126,037 a year, roughly 25% of income at the averages. Renters make up 35% of occupied homes.

Risk score
4.7
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 16% Stable renters 19% Owners 65%
Tract context
Occupied units1,589
Renter share34.7%
SVI overall0.33
Poverty rate11.4%
Median income$126,037

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 7 tracts In Mesa Verde
Very High
Within parent city
52 th percentile
Rank, 52nd percentileLowHigh
#12 of 24 tracts In Costa Mesa
Moderate
Within county
55 th percentile
Rank, 55th percentileLowHigh
#277 of 613 tracts In Orange
Moderate
Within state
33 th percentile
Rank, 33rd percentileLowHigh
#6,078 of 9,109 tracts In California
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Costa Mesa and the region

Centroid at 33.6606, -117.9417 · click any tract to drill in

Why Mesa Verde scores 4.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Costa Mesa
5.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.5
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
11.4% poverty · this tract
2.9
Supply constraint
$2,643 rent vs county FMR
4.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Costa Mesa
7.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Costa Mesa
9.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Costa Mesa
5.9

How Mesa Verde compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Mesa Verde risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.74.7This tracttract 063803Costa Mesa: 7.77.7Costa Mesaparent cityCounty: 4.64.6Countyavg tract in countyState: 5.65.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 33

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Mesa Verde. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Mesa Verde

What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 9.6/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Costa Mesa, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Orange County average of 5.7 and in line with the California statewide average of 6.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 10.5% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 5.5% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 33rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 06059063803

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06059063803?

Census tract 06059063803 in the Mesa Verde neighborhood scores 4.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06059063803?

Median gross rent is $2,643/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06059063803?

11.4% of residents in tract 06059063803 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,507.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06059063803?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 33th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 38th, household 12th, minority 60th, housing 46th.
Q5

Is tract 06059063803 considered part of Mesa Verde?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06059063803 fall within Mesa Verde (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 06059063803 struggle to pay rent?

About 10.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 06059063803 compare to Costa Mesa overall?

Tract 06059063803 scores 4.7/10, lower than the parent city of Costa Mesa at 7.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Costa Mesa; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Costa Mesa

Top eight tracts in Costa Mesa ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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