Neighborhood · Ranked #31,159 of 84,120 nationally

Mesa Verde Eviction Risk: Moderate , Costa Mesa

Tract 06059063902 · Orange, CA · pop 6,500 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi

The Mesa Verde area of Costa Mesa anchors census tract 06059063902, which lands at 5.8/10 on landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than about 70% of US census tracts.

51% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 21% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $2,476 a month while the average household earns $108,778 a year, roughly 27% of income at the averages. About 75% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score

4.6

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 38% Stable renters 37% Owners 25%

Tract context

Occupied units2,507

Renter share74.6%

SVI overall0.48

Poverty rate6.7%

Median income$108,778

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Costa Mesa and the region

Centroid at 33.6779, -117.9136 · click any tract to drill in

Why Mesa Verde scores 4.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Costa Mesa

5.9

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.5

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

6.7% poverty · this tract

1.7

Supply constraint

$2,476 rent vs county FMR

3.5

Rent control risk

Inherited from Costa Mesa

7.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.3

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Costa Mesa

9.6

Housing court bias

Inherited from Costa Mesa

5.9

How Mesa Verde compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 48

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

63%Socioeconomic
5%Household composition
61%Racial/ethnic minority
63%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Mesa Verde. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

12.6%Housing insecurity
5.9%Utility-shutoff threat
13.5%Food insecurity
10.1%SNAP enrollment
7.8%Transit barriers
8.4%No health insurance
18.7%Frequent mental distress
24.5%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Mesa Verde

What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 9.6/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Costa Mesa, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Orange County average of 5.7 and in line with the California statewide average of 6.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 12.6% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 5.9% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 48th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 06059063902

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06059063902?

Census tract 06059063902 in the Mesa Verde neighborhood scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06059063902?

Median gross rent is $2,476/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06059063902?

6.7% of residents in tract 06059063902 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,500.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06059063902?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 48th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 63th, household 5th, minority 61th, housing 63th.

Is tract 06059063902 considered part of Mesa Verde?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06059063902 fall within Mesa Verde (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 06059063902 struggle to pay rent?

About 12.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06059063902 compare to Costa Mesa overall?

Tract 06059063902 scores 4.6/10, lower than the parent city of Costa Mesa at 7.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Costa Mesa; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Costa Mesa

Top eight tracts in Costa Mesa ranked by composite eviction-risk score.