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Neighborhood · Costa Mesa, CA

Mesa Verde Eviction Risk: Elevated

7 census tracts · pop 27,593 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 6.9/10 · range 5.9–7.4

Mesa Verde takes in 7 census tracts of Costa Mesa, CA and houses 27,593 people. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 6.9/10, in the Elevated tier. Against a Costa Mesa baseline of 31.3%, 47% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.

What pushes the score up most is tenant-organizing strength at 9.3/10. The severe-burden share is 20%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay.

On the softer side is economic stress, at 1.9/10. Internally this is not one market. Tract scores span 5.9 to 7.4, so two buildings inside the same boundary can carry materially different risk. Average gross rent is $2,778, 14% above the Costa Mesa average of $2,446.

Among the 7 mapped neighborhoods of Costa Mesa, it ranks #5 by risk, the lower third. For a like-for-like read, Harbor Heights and Castaways score within a fraction of it. Annual rent works out to 25% of average household income of $133,508.

36% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Underwrite the address, not the area: with 1.5 points between its best and worst tract, the per-tract table below is the operative number. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
6.9
Elevated
7 tracts · population-weighted
Mesa Verde vs Costa Mesa How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
47.0% +50%
Costa Mesa: 31.3%
Average gross rent
$2,778 +14%
Costa Mesa: $2,446
Average HH income
$133,508 +21%
Costa Mesa: $110,073
Poverty rate
7.4% -17%
Costa Mesa: 8.9%
Renter share
36.1% -40%
Costa Mesa: 60.5%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Mesa Verde and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 7 tracts span score 5.9–7.4

Why Mesa Verde scores 6.9

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts
6.8
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 5.9–5.9 across tracts
5.9
Rent control risk
47% of income on rent · Range 6.7–7.0 across tracts
6.9
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 6.3–6.3 across tracts
6.3
Tenant organizing strength
36% renter households · Range 8.6–9.6 across tracts
9.3
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 5.5–5.9 across tracts
5.8
Economic stress
7.4% below poverty line · Range 1.0–2.9 across tracts
1.9
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.4–7.1 across tracts
4.6
Risk score comparison

Mesa Verde vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Mesa Verde score vs. parent city, state, U.S.6.9Mesa VerdeNeighborhood7.7Parent cityhost city7.6Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Mesa Verde?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 1.5 points from 5.9 to 7.4. Moderate variation across constituent tracts.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

7 tracts in Mesa Verde

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
06059063902 7.4 6,500 51% $2,476
06059063803 7.4 4,507 46% $2,643
06059063805 6.9 2,716 45% $2,808
06059063806 6.8 3,889 44% $2,429
06059099216 6.5 4,416 45% $3,467
06059063802 6.4 3,045 35% $2,443
06059099217 5.9 2,520 64% $3,501
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 34

Pop-weighted across 7 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 39%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 19%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 56%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 43%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Mesa Verde

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Mesa Verde

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Mesa Verde?

Mesa Verde scores 6.9/10 (Elevated tier) across 7 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Mesa Verde compare to Costa Mesa overall?

Mesa Verde scores 0.8 points lower than Costa Mesa overall (7.7/10). Renters spend 47% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $2,778 vs $2,446.
Q3

What is the average rent in Mesa Verde?

Average gross rent in Mesa Verde is $2,778/month (pop-weighted across 7 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Mesa Verde residents are renters?

36% of Mesa Verde households are renter-occupied (vs 60% in Costa Mesa). The neighborhood has 27,593 residents.
Q5

Is Mesa Verde a high social-vulnerability area?

Mesa Verde sits in the 34th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Mesa Verde have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Mesa Verde is census tract 06059063902 (score 7.4/10). Across the 7 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 5.9 to 7.4, a spread of 1.5 points.
Q7

How safe is Mesa Verde for landlords?

Mesa Verde carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (6.9/10). Pop-weighted across 7 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Costa Mesa as a whole (7.7/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Mesa Verde?

Mesa Verde has 27,280 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (57.8%), Hispanic / Latino (26.7%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (8.2%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Mesa Verde

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Costa Mesa

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Mesa Verde.

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