Neighborhood · Ranked #12,919 of 84,120 nationally

North El Modena Eviction Risk: Elevated , Orange

Tract 06059075815 · Orange, CA · pop 5,410 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi

Census tract 06059075815 covers part of the North El Modena area of Orange, CA, and scores 7/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 5,410 residents. 25% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score

Elevated

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 18% Stable renters 20% Owners 62%

Tract context

Occupied units1,600

Renter share37.7%

SVI overall0.55

Poverty rate10.4%

Median income$107,105

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Orange and the region

Centroid at 33.7971, -117.8256 · click any tract to drill in

Why North El Modena scores 7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Orange

5.9

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.5

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

10.4% poverty · this tract

2.6

Supply constraint

$2,419 rent vs county FMR

3.3

Rent control risk

Inherited from Orange

7.1

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.2

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Orange

8.4

Housing court bias

Inherited from Orange

6.0

How North El Modena compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 55

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

70%Socioeconomic
31%Household composition
74%Racial/ethnic minority
35%Housing & transportation

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

15.3%Housing insecurity
7.4%Utility-shutoff threat
17.5%Food insecurity
14.3%SNAP enrollment
9.1%Transit barriers
11.8%No health insurance
18.2%Frequent mental distress
30.7%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in North El Modena

The score leans hardest on tenant-organizing strength at 8.4/10. On the softer side, economic stress reads 2.6/10. Cost burden runs 47% here against 51.8% across Orange County.

Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.1/10. Nationally it ranks #12,919 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 6/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. It tracks the Orange County average of 7.0 closely.

Average gross rent is $2,419, close to the Orange average. Annual rent works out to 27% of average household income of $107,105. 38% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 06059075815

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06059075815?

Census tract 06059075815 in the North El Modena neighborhood scores 7/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06059075815?

Median gross rent is $2,419/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06059075815?

10.4% of residents in tract 06059075815 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,410.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06059075815?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 55th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 70th, household 31th, minority 74th, housing 35th.

Is tract 06059075815 considered part of North El Modena?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06059075815 fall within North El Modena (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 06059075815 struggle to pay rent?

About 15.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06059075815 compare to Orange overall?

Tract 06059075815 scores 7/10, right in line with the parent city of Orange at 6.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Orange eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Orange

Top eight tracts in Orange ranked by composite eviction-risk score.