Neighborhood · Ranked #32,735 of 84,120 nationally

North El Modena Eviction Risk: Moderate , Orange

Tract 06059075815 · Orange, CA · pop 5,410 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi

Here is how census tract 06059075815, in the North El Modena area of Orange eviction risk, looks to a landlord: a 5.7/10 eviction-risk score (Moderate tier) across a population of 5,410. It lands near the 66th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

About 47% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 25% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $2,419 a month against an average household income of $107,105 a year, roughly 27% of income at the averages. Renters make up 38% of occupied homes.

Risk score

4.5

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 18% Stable renters 20% Owners 62%

Tract context

Occupied units1,600

Renter share37.7%

SVI overall0.55

Poverty rate10.4%

Median income$107,105

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Orange and the region

Centroid at 33.7971, -117.8256 · click any tract to drill in

Why North El Modena scores 4.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Orange

5.9

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.5

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

10.4% poverty · this tract

2.6

Supply constraint

$2,419 rent vs county FMR

3.3

Rent control risk

Inherited from Orange

7.1

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.2

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Orange

8.4

Housing court bias

Inherited from Orange

6.0

How North El Modena compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 55

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

70%Socioeconomic
31%Household composition
74%Racial/ethnic minority
35%Housing & transportation

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

15.3%Housing insecurity
7.4%Utility-shutoff threat
17.5%Food insecurity
14.3%SNAP enrollment
9.1%Transit barriers
11.8%No health insurance
18.2%Frequent mental distress
30.7%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in North El Modena

What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 8.4/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Orange eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Orange County average of 5.7 and below the California statewide average of 6.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 15.3% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 7.4% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is Hispanic or Latino and White and ranks around the 55th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 06059075815

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06059075815?

Census tract 06059075815 in the North El Modena neighborhood scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06059075815?

Median gross rent is $2,419/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06059075815?

10.4% of residents in tract 06059075815 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,410.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06059075815?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 55th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 70th, household 31th, minority 74th, housing 35th.

Is tract 06059075815 considered part of North El Modena?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06059075815 fall within North El Modena (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 06059075815 struggle to pay rent?

About 15.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06059075815 compare to Orange overall?

Tract 06059075815 scores 4.5/10, lower than the parent city of Orange at 7.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Orange eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Orange

Top eight tracts in Orange ranked by composite eviction-risk score.