Neighborhood · Orange, CA

North El Modena Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 5,410 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.5/10 · range 4.5–4.5

North El Modena is a hispanic-white neighborhood in Orange with 1 census tract and a population of 5,410 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 4.5/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 47% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 25% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $2,419/month sits 4% higher than the Orange citywide average ($2,327).

Risk score

4.5

Moderate

1 tracts · population-weighted

North El Modena vs Orange How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

47.4% +49%

Orange: 31.8%

Average gross rent

$2,419 +4%

Orange: $2,327

Average HH income

$107,105 -8%

Orange: $116,945

Poverty rate

10.4% +14%

Orange: 9.2%

Renter share

37.7% -13%

Orange: 43.3%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across North El Modena and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 4.5–4.5

Why North El Modena scores 4.5

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts

6.8

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts

5.5

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 5.9–5.9 across tracts

5.9

Rent control risk

47% of income on rent · Range 7.1–7.1 across tracts

7.1

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 6.2–6.2 across tracts

6.2

Tenant organizing strength

38% renter households · Range 8.4–8.4 across tracts

8.4

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 6.0–6.0 across tracts

6.0

Economic stress

10.4% below poverty line · Range 2.6–2.6 across tracts

2.6

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.3–3.3 across tracts

3.3

Risk score comparison

North El Modena vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Census tracts

1 tracts in North El Modena

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
06059075815	4.5	5,410	47%	$2,419

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 55

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 70%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 31%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 74%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 35%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in North El Modena

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

15.3%Housing insecurity
7.4%Utility shutoff threat
17.5%Food insecurity
14.3%SNAP enrollment
11.8%No health insurance
30.7%Any disability

Frequently asked

About North El Modena

What is the eviction-risk score for North El Modena?

North El Modena scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does North El Modena compare to Orange overall?

North El Modena scores 3.0 points lower than Orange overall (7.5/10). Renters spend 47% of income on rent vs 32% citywide. Average rent: $2,419 vs $2,327.

What is the average rent in North El Modena?

Average gross rent in North El Modena is $2,419/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of North El Modena residents are renters?

38% of North El Modena households are renter-occupied (vs 43% in Orange). The neighborhood has 5,410 residents.

Is North El Modena a high social-vulnerability area?

North El Modena sits in the 55th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

How safe is North El Modena for landlords?

North El Modena carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.5/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Orange as a whole (7.5/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of North El Modena?

North El Modena has 5,249 residents (Hispanic-White Neighborhood). Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (46.8%), White (non-Hispanic) (36.7%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (9.8%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near North El Modena

3.4 Panorama Heights 8 tracts · pop 39,591 4.9 Fairbridge Square 5 tracts · pop 27,700 3.8 Santiago Creek 4 tracts · pop 15,485 4 Olive 3 tracts · pop 16,230 5.1 OC Vibe 5 tracts · pop 28,897 5.5 Mabury Park 3 tracts · pop 14,762

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Orange

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to North El Modena.

4.9 Fairbridge Square 5 tracts · pop 27,700 4 Santiago Creek 4 tracts · pop 15,485 4 Olive 3 tracts · pop 16,230 3.7 Cowan Heights 1 tracts · pop 5,954 3.5 Orange Park Acres 1 tracts · pop 3,012 5.5 OC Vibe 5 tracts · pop 28,897

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