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Neighborhood · Orange, CA

North El Modena Eviction Risk: Elevated

1 census tracts · pop 5,410 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 7/10 · range 7–7

North El Modena maps to a single census tract in Orange, CA, population 5,410. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 7/10, Elevated tier. 47% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, markedly above the Orange rate of 31.8%.

25% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. The strongest single driver of the headline number is tenant-organizing strength at 8.4/10. Running cool is economic stress, at 2.6/10.

On the high side is rent-regulation exposure at 7.1/10. Among the 8 mapped neighborhoods of Orange, it ranks #3 by risk, the middle third. The closest comparables inside the same city are OC Vibe and Fairbridge Square.

Average gross rent runs $2,419, close to the Orange average. Annual rent works out to 27% of average household income of $107,105. 38% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

One tract means one number: 7/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
7
Elevated
1 tracts · population-weighted
North El Modena vs Orange How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
47.4% +49%
Orange: 31.8%
Average gross rent
$2,419 +4%
Orange: $2,327
Average HH income
$107,105 -8%
Orange: $116,945
Poverty rate
10.4% +14%
Orange: 9.2%
Renter share
37.7% -13%
Orange: 43.3%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across North El Modena and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 7–7

Why North El Modena scores 7

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts
6.8
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 5.9–5.9 across tracts
5.9
Rent control risk
47% of income on rent · Range 7.1–7.1 across tracts
7.1
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 6.2–6.2 across tracts
6.2
Tenant organizing strength
38% renter households · Range 8.4–8.4 across tracts
8.4
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 6.0–6.0 across tracts
6.0
Economic stress
10.4% below poverty line · Range 2.6–2.6 across tracts
2.6
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.3–3.3 across tracts
3.3
Risk score comparison

North El Modena vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

North El Modena score vs. parent city, state, U.S.7.0North El ModenaNeighborhood6.9Parent cityhost city7.6Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in North El Modena

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
06059075815 7 5,410 47% $2,419
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 55

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 70%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 31%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 74%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 35%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in North El Modena

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About North El Modena

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for North El Modena?

North El Modena scores 7/10 (Elevated tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does North El Modena compare to Orange overall?

North El Modena scores 0.1 points higher than Orange overall (6.9/10). Renters spend 47% of income on rent vs 32% citywide. Average rent: $2,419 vs $2,327.
Q3

What is the average rent in North El Modena?

Average gross rent in North El Modena is $2,419/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of North El Modena residents are renters?

38% of North El Modena households are renter-occupied (vs 43% in Orange). The neighborhood has 5,410 residents.
Q5

Is North El Modena a high social-vulnerability area?

North El Modena sits in the 55th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is North El Modena for landlords?

North El Modena carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (7/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Orange as a whole (6.9/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of North El Modena?

North El Modena has 5,249 residents. Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (46.8%), White (non-Hispanic) (36.7%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (9.8%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near North El Modena

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Orange

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to North El Modena.

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